winter_warlock Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: absolute fucking cinema Yess !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Seems euro made a bigger move west than the gfs moved east. Maybe they meet in the middle and give us 6-10”. That would be nice 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 00z model runs are gonna be epic!!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, mappy said: I think most will see snow. Even if it doesn’t accumulate Any flakes flying will put a smile on my face so I’ll take it! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Pretty nice change on the AI Euro.. Looks like the change the AI GFS made tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Yep. One comparison to 12Z with WB EURO AI. 7pm Sunday at 18Z v. 12Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 So. Is this the Euro nodding to <hold on, I just threw up in my mouth> the GFS? 2 1 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I'm curious to know how much precipitation falls after sunset Sunday. Euro ai is about .4-.6 range from you to me, but probably on the higher side as I can only see 1pm then 7pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I mean guys, GFS leading the way for sure now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Terpeast said: Seems euro made a bigger move west than the gfs moved east. Maybe they meet in the middle and give us 6-10”. That would be nice This, absolutely! I of course do not buy the crazy intense GFS solutions with record-breaking snows (though fun to look at from the perspective of just what COULD happen in the most ideal, extreme case!). But I am encouraged that we could still quite possibly see a decent warning-level snow. I think that would be quite a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Best under 100 hour suite in how long ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Looks like the change the AI GFS made tbh. Massive change. Quite surprised we are heading down this road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: My flight leaves at 12:35pm tomorrow. I need this resolved by 12z. I've already told the bf that if other models hop on board by 11:30, I'm going right the fuck back home. My flight to Vegas leaves at 7:00 am on Monday. Yay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 57 minutes ago, CAPE said: The primary difference I see is the NW to SE vorticity ribbon dropping southeastward in the flow from Canada is more robust and phases with the energy taking the southern route. The SLP over SC begins to develop at that point. As for why it digs more and climbs the coast then tucks as it intensifies, I think it has to do with the ball of vorticity seen here over SW MN that emanates from the tail end of that ribbon, and THEN ultimately phases in- no other model has had that. Significant step towards the GFS imo- 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, bncho said: USA USA USA 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So. Is this the Euro nodding to <hold on, I just threw up in my mouth> the GFS? The gfs came 10% towards the euro and the euro came 40% of the way to the GfS at 18z. Still a wide gap but not as crazy as before. Usually those compromise % are flipped 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, Paleocene said: but what about the IVT guys Funny. But the IVT is probably the only way any of us score snow at all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So. Is this the Euro nodding to <hold on, I just threw up in my mouth> the GFS? Seeing models trend towards the GFS is certainly gonna cause us to rethink things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Euro trendy on snowfall. Love to see it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Let’s face the facts, it was a pretty sizable move by the euro in a couple of days. Energy consolidation upstream and also coastal development a fair bit west. regarding IVT precip, it was as a result much more impressive with a good UL pass. We’re still a good bit off the GFS, but it undeniably went more towards it than we could have expected if we were weenie casting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, mattie g said: My flight to Vegas leaves at 7:00 am on Monday. Yay? What happens in Vegas... happens without you? (We hope!) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 18z Euro at HR 84 is borderline F O L K S 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 GFS giving a big ole middle finger to the other models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Significant step towards the GFS imo- Agreed, if that lobe catches a bit better and the backside amplifies a bit better, I feel like it could cause the neg tilt look the gfs has been advertising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 ALL HAIL KING GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, mattie g said: My flight to Vegas leaves at 7:00 am on Monday. Yay? You're in a better spot than I am...at least you don't have to make the call to cancel before any potential event happens. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Euro trendy on snowfall. Love to see it. But that’s the ivt you just mocked. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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