Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[LeesburgWx]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

Love the trend. Just a bit more NW please

[TSSN+]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Love the trend. Just a bit more NW please

Who wants to tell him? 

[winter_warlock]

8 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

AI appears to be locking in on a 1-3 inch event in the western burbs, 2-4 west of '95, and generally 3-6 north and east of DC with localized amounts near 10 closer to the shore.

Locking in?? At 4 days out? 

[anotherman]

The GFS is an unusable model. Wow.

[LeesburgWx]

3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Who wants to tell him? 

lol I know. We all know what to actually believe

[Ji]

You guys analysis on here sometimes is awful. One person…it’s better, another it’s worse. How about let the run play out 

I though this looked better than this

[snowfan]

27 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z EURO AI about the same as 0Z.

Will - appreciate you being our map guy. Favor....can you just post the current run and not these comparisons. Its confusing as hell at times.

[Ji]

What a disaster of a morning

12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Just now, Ji said:

What a disaster of a morning

12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

If that happens it’s on to baseball and cherry blossom!

[Jake Wx]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

What a disaster of a morning

12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

how?

[dailylurker]

6 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

If that happens it’s on to baseball and cherry blossom!

Didn't we do this at the same time last year. I'm still waiting on the 40" the gfs gave Annopoils. 

[Imgoinhungry]

What a disaster of a morning

12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

Of course we will lose the gfs. Pointless to look at it at this point.


.

[mitchnick]

Eps

[Ji]

Eps

Yep going the wrong way

[stormy]

We all know that slp placement will determine the final solution. GFS is Hatteras to Ocean City hugging the coast.  The EURO and CANADIAN flirt with the coast east of Hatteras then OTS.

Way back in the formative equation. The Pacific is hostile. This places the western ridge a little too far east. Instead of an axis at 105 - 110, that axis needs to be back at 115 - 120 which would encourage a coastal solution.

Is it too late for a shift?  Time is running out......   

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Yep going the wrong way

Gefs fwiw. I'd post the 0z Geps but it's surprisingly bad.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

11 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Didn't we do this at the same time last year. I'm still waiting on the 40" the gfs gave Annopoils. 

Hahaha yes! Except Last year it was the eps teasing us at this range. 

[baltosquid]

We always end up here, hoping the GFS somehow scores a coup.

[bncho]

4 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

We always end up here, hoping the GFS somehow scores a coup.

We live in a simulation 

[LeesburgWx]

6 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

We always end up here, hoping the GFS somehow scores a coup.

Exactly my thought this morning. Somehow, we always have the GFS on our side until the last minute when it caves. This is like #4 this year. We really doing this to ourselves?

[wasnow215]

31 minutes ago, Ji said:

What a disaster of a morning

12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

Only see AI map for Euro-what did the real euro show for snow? Any map?

[wasnow215]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Exactly my thought this morning. Somehow, we always have the GFS on our side until the last minute when it caves. This is like #4 this year. We really doing this to ourselves?

Without getting any lectures about how I'm wrong then why does the GFS even exist? It always ends up following the EURO

[Interstate]

All the doom and gloom... I am tell you... we got this one, and I am one of the most pessimist people on here.

[dailylurker]

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Only see AI map for Euro-what did the real euro show for snow? Any map?

Did the euro run? I didn't see any mention of it.

[wasnow215]

1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

Did the euro run? I didn't see any mention of it.

It did run lol-it must've been bad because we keep showing the AI models which I remind people AI had Shawshank Redemption 2 coming out. Lol

[Ji]

Did the euro run? I didn't see any mention of it.

It was garbage

[wasnow215]

Is @stormtracker ok?

[IronTy]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

It was garbage

It wasn't terrible.  Well it might have been if you're a crybaby living west of the bay.  

[wasnow215]

15 minutes ago, bncho said:

We live in a simulation 

I heard Southwest Airlines flew into the system and took readings and samples and all. Now all the models feel free to roam about the country!!

[Terpeast]

2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

It wasn't terrible.  Well it might have been if you're a crybaby living west of the bay.  

Not a fan of euro for mby but its probably closer to being correct