“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[ineedsnow]

[Greg]

Dam that high over Minnesota is really trying to barrel in to create more confluence/Jet streak to the north and suppress this. Go away and please keep your distance away from us please. Help funneling in the cold but stay away.

[dendrite]

Just don’t look at that run if you live WOR

[Kitz Craver]

We take the 3k

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, dendrite said:

Just don’t look at that run if you live WOR

Too late 

[weatherwiz]

That is going to absolutely crush from BOS down through Hartford into Southwest CT

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

That is going to absolutely crush from BOS down through Hartford into Southwest CT

Yup

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Just don’t look at that run if you live WOR

3k is better

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That is going to absolutely crush from BOS down through Hartford into Southwest CT

Hi. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

2.6" to 1.1" for me at 27hrs.

[jbenedet]

This thing will come up the coast off shore.  It has the mid level ridging to do it.

I’m expecting a more impactful event up here to PWM. The latitude gain won’t translate well to points west though. That sharp cut-off on the western side is legit

[Greg]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

We take the 3k

Both 12K and 3K. Not to mention the HRRR.

[tavwtby]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That is going to be some absolutely epic banding 

I'll take that band locale all day long please...

[ineedsnow]

[Kitz Craver]

Some questions wrt to epicosity for N&W areas but pretty locked on an axis from NYC-Hartford-Boston

[wilton_wx]

All the way down to 1.1". Yikes. How much stock are we taking in the NAM vs 3k?

[subdude]

1 hour ago, Greg said:

Nah, it's still possible to get a pretty accurate measurement with these. Just measure in multiple places around the house if you can. Make sure your about 20 feet away from the house though while taking these measurements so the roof snow doesn't add in with the snowfall. Also try to get a nice round number of how much snow you have already have on the ground so you can subtracted this from the snowfall, it will add to the settled total snow depth. It can be done.

Definitely taking total snowpack meassurement before this one starts.

[Baroclinic Zone]

[dendrite]

Yeah 3k is doing it too. A little alarming if you live in WNE. I’m not really in this game either way as it’s either 1” or 3”. Curious to see if the ICON and RGEM do this as well although the RGEM was already meager.

[ineedsnow]

Not bad 

[wilton_wx]

SWCT Shaft?

[Baroclinic Zone]

3km NAM ups QPF over SE MA

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Some questions wrt to epicosity for N&W areas but pretty locked on an axis from NYC-Hartford-Boston

Yes..we locked…we loaded. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

3km NAM ups QPF over SE MA

As does the 12z

[OrangeCTWX]

Idk I just don’t believe a low that deep, rapidly strengthening, and at  that position would throw back such meager precip here. Toss

[Modfan2]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

3km NAM ups QPF over SE MA

I am fine with Scooter and those to the east stealing my snow

[ineedsnow]

I'm will to bet 18z comes back a bit.. I really think the first 6 hours of this run was garbage.. by then we will have a better idea

[Torch Tiger]

still looks like crap here tbh. Not that we expected much

[Hoth]

31 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's becoming a limiting factor for me.  Taking this out of top 5 contention about as fast as the models have quietly been speeding this up on everyone.  Some runs I've seen are under 12 hrs with the bulk and go to wind whipped flurries that only look like the storms still going because of the snow being blown around type of event.  Heh.   

I don't think this is slowing back down, either.  It's part of the world we live in where the atmosphere is challenged to do that kind of storm.  

As much as I see all that, I also am a bit suss re the models becoming radially so compact.  It's almost like relative to climatology, it is too intense?   968 mb lows passing between the Del Marv and just inside the BM ... it seems we had better QPF sprawl when shallower "big" storms have made that transit.   interesting... 

Storms are like snow flakes. No two are exactly the same.  

I did 28” in Jan ‘11 in roughly 12 hours, and that included getting kissed by the dryslot for an hour. It can be done. 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Idk I just don’t believe a low that deep, rapidly strengthening, and at  that position would throw back such meager precip here. Toss

You’re fine…gonna be great there. The long and short is, It’s a region wide mauling….1ft+-2ft.  Some places will see more depending where banding sets up.