Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[MJO812]

Wow 977 low

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

Regular GFS is a big hit

AI gfs is a huge hit

[EasternLI]

GFS not backing down

[Tatamy]

06z AI GFS

 

[MJO812]

Wow GFS is more tucked in and north. Huge hit.

[nycsnow]

Gfs should be better for most of us up here actually 

[WeatherGeek2025]

GFS is the best run yet. Blizzard all around

[nycsnow]

[MJO812]

Wow

[nycsnow]

[MJO812]

Courtesy of PB but jeez

[messier77]

Thoughts on arriving at JFK from Europe at 1:40pm Sunday?

[Snowlover11]

1 minute ago, messier77 said:

Thoughts on arriving at JFK from Europe at 1:40pm Sunday?

Should be fine snow is starting to move in however.

[nycsnow]

B word 

[messier77]

1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said:

Should be fine snow is starting to move in however.

Thanks.  Hopefully will be able to make it back to NJ after clearing customs and picking up bags.

[MJO812]

Gfs is a blizzard for I95

[WeatherGeek2025]

5 minutes ago, messier77 said:

Thoughts on arriving at JFK from Europe at 1:40pm Sunday?

you'll be fine, the flight will probably make it on time as the weather should start getting messy after 4pm or so

[Tatamy]

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

B word 

This could require hurricane force wind warnings for the coastal waters.  Tidal flooding would be a big problem with this scenario.

[Dark Star]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs is a blizzard for I95

But is the GFS AI a little farther east?

[SnoSki14]

3 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

But is the GFS AI a little farther east?

Compared to the GFS, yes but it shifted NW and was a big hit. 

[Tatamy]

Just now, Dark Star said:

But is the GFS AI a little farther east?

GFS AI brings 1 - 1.5” QPF across the area (less well N&W).  It’s been showing a relentless push to the NW with higher precip amounts.

[SnoSki14]

15 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs is a blizzard for I95

Is the GFS really about to score a huge win? 

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Why would Virginia Beach be cold enough for this to be all snow? Hopefully just the long range NAM F'n with us. 

Rates?  Just a guess...

[SnoSki14]

GEFS are loaded once again 

The bulk of the heavy snows (on GFS) seem to fall in the evening and overnight hours for the sun angle, warm temps crowd. 

[Tatamy]

06Z GEFS

 

[TJW014]

60 hours till go time. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

[jm1220]

Waiting for the Euro/anything else to jump on. What a tough forecast. 

[Tatamy]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Waiting for the Euro/anything else to jump on. What a tough forecast. 

06z NAM has zip.  06z Ukie has rain from the city south at 66 hours.  It’s like these models are all in separate worlds.