SACRUS Posted Thursday at 10:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:07 PM 18z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF The gfs core platform has either - been hacked by members of the weather community - its seeing s something no other suite sees for such an amplified phase so close to the coast (other then yesterdays GGEM, UKMET) that other dont see ala 2010 - greatest failure inside 96 hours of recent memory And the much to be hyped on social media and other outlets 18z GFS total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:08 PM 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Its too late for shifts. We need hits by tonight on at least 2 other models Its not at all if you followed the models this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Thursday at 10:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:09 PM 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: AI gfs west And the cherry on top might be the AIGFS trend in precip/snow (it's cold enough). And even though I know there's not a lot of love for the AIGFS, the fact that it's arriving at a pretty good snowfall for 95 to the coast, via a totally different model algorithm (AI vs. physics) is encouraging, meaning the GFS solution can't just be some weird data initialization or model physics error. I guess we have to keep tracking, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Thursday at 10:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:09 PM Just now, MJO812 said: Its not at all if you followed the models this winter. Just this past weekend there were runs showing as much as 6-8 and even 10 inches as recent as 72/60 hours ahead of Sunday/Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted Thursday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:10 PM Euro needs a big step to the west. Someone is going to have an egg on their face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Thursday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:10 PM Local news 12 met leaning towards gfs solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Thursday at 10:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:15 PM I'm not surprised the GFS is not caving yet, it always is stubborn til usually the final 60-72 hours or so though in the last few years its sometimes given up a bit earlier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Thursday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:16 PM Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I'm not surprised the GFS is not caving yet, it always is stubborn til usually the final 60-72 hours or so though in the last few years its sometimes given up a bit earlier i think we're going to tuck and snow hard and GfS will win! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Thursday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:16 PM 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Its too late for shifts. We need hits by tonight on at least 2 other models Welp, I will say this with confidence, if this turns into another GFS fail, that model will be totally done and regarded as junk for a very long time in the eyes of many people….including a lot of pro mets…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:17 PM Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Thursday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:17 PM Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: i think we're going to tuck and snow hard and GfS will win! Do you get sick of posting the same gibberish you weenie? 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Thursday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:19 PM 11 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 18z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF The gfs core platform has either - been hacked by members of the weather community - its seeing s something no other suite sees for such an amplified phase so close to the coast (other then yesterdays GGEM, UKMET) that other dont see ala 2010 - greatest failure inside 96 hours of recent memory And the much to be hyped on social media and other outlets 18z GFS total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i think we're going to tuck and snow hard and GfS will win! I found who hacked the GFS: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: Do you get sick of posting the same gibberish you weenie? no i dont do you get sick of bullying a ? i just wish the euro ai would get in line with the GFS? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:21 PM 15 minutes ago, Mail Man said: Usually the GFS would of folded like a cheap tent by now. should be new data by 0z I would think. If it's still there then I'd be a little more interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Thursday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:21 PM 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i think we're going to tuck and snow hard and GfS will win! To be fair it is due for a win. Its been 3 winters I think since it has had a big score. It did well for awhile there pre most recent Euro and CMC upgrade but since those 2 got upgraded 2-3 years back and its not made a hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:22 PM Ukie would have been good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Ukie would have been good it doesn't go past 66 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: it doesn't go past 66 hours? Not at 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:24 PM Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: it doesn't go past 66 hours? Not 18z Gefs is better than 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Thursday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:26 PM 35 minutes ago, MJO812 said: AI gfs west That was a decent shift west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Thursday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:28 PM 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not 18z Gefs is better than 12z Mean is S/E. A lot of members N/W though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM we need a 100 mile northwest jog and we all get a lot of snow it's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:32 PM 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie would have been good How does it compare to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: How does it compare to 12z Slightly more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Got rid of some east members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:34 PM The spread is crazy considering we’re under 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted Thursday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:35 PM 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another person who is bashing the gfs . Can we see at 0z ? It has beaten the euro many times. Having the gfs ai west is nice. Icon and rgem also shifted west. It's bashed for a reason, it never verifies when it's an outlier. If it pulls it off this time being an outlier I'd be beyond shocked because that would be unprecedented for this model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Thursday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:37 PM 1 minute ago, kat5hurricane said: It's bashed for a reason, it never verifies when it's an outlier. If it pulls it off this time being an outlier I'd be beyond shocked because that would be unprecedented for this model. it's verified before as an outlier it has i can confirm that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:39 PM 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie looks similar to 12z same time - havent looked at 500 to compare 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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