Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 96 southern stream came out of the gulf and I thought it pulled in the western and northern streams if I am using the right terms... Could be wrong but regardless.... this is an equal powerhouse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Appreciate that. Rare beasts. 2001 was sort of, but not in the classical sense. Very rare and lets see the verification. Players on the field. You don’t need a triple phaser to get low 960’s though. Boxing Day and Jan 2018 did it with no triple phase. Feb 1978 was probably the best wind snow storm in the last 100 years and it was only around 980 with a 1040 high nearby giving it a huge gradient. 1996 also had an impressive high nearby and a tight gradient. With this one looks like a 1050 high but it’s further afield in central Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Gfs rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley. For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it. Last night I thought I would be happy with 12”. Now I want 18” or bust. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Mesos will have more weight than globals soon. This is a very extreme storm. A sub 970 storm south of LI is no joke 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: 96 southern stream came out of the gulf and I thought it pulled in the western and northern streams if I am using the right terms... Could be wrong but regardless.... this is an equal powerhouse... I’m no expert! Thought it was overrunning than transfer with a normal phase. Storm never got sub 980 but had very solid winds due to the close in arctic high creating a tight gradient. If this tucks in winds should be higher than 1996 but doubt we get as high or sustained as 1978. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, deathstar9 said: You don’t need a triple phaser to get low 960’s though. Boxing Day and Jan 2018 did it with no triple phase. Feb 1978 was probably the best wind snow storm in the last 100 years and it was only around 980 with a 1040 high nearby giving it a huge gradient. 1996 also had an impressive high nearby and a tight gradient. With this one looks like a 1050 high but it’s further afield in central Canada. Totally agree. Its a nice to have, not a need to have. For this one, it could be the stick of dynamite that gets us to 960s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 16 minutes ago, Heisy said: Someone in your region will get 24-36” depending where the h7 band ends up. Really jealous. Should get like 6-10” here in Philly, but your region is primed imo. I think you hit 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: What are you thinking for us neighbor? All in or still cautious? My forecast as of now for my location is 10-15”. Trying to stay reasonable. Banding and extent of NW push will tell the tale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East of the Parkway Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Mesos will have more weight than globals soon. This is a very extreme storm. A sub 970 storm south of LI is no joke Contextually concerning when you look at Sandy being 940. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, MANDA said: My forecast as of now for my location is 10-15”. Trying to stay reasonable. Banding and extent of NW push will tell the tale. I’m bumping mine to 8-14 for MMU 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, East of the Parkway said: Contextually concerning when you look at Sandy being 940. If the Nam verifies we're all getting a blizzard and there will be major coastal flooding. Strong winds well inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I just checked my Accuweather app.. They have 3-6 most likely for here 75%. They actually have a higher probability of 1-3, over 6-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, sussexcountyobs said: I just checked my Accuweather app.. They have 3-6 most likely for here 75%. They actually have a higher probability of 1-3, over 6-10? Checking automated app was your first issue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I’m bumping mine to 8-14 for MMUI’ve upped mine, now up yours!. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, North and West said: I’ve upped mine, now up yours! . What are you thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, BoulderWX said: Checking automated app was your first issue I did it for sh*ts and giggles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS was slightly delayed going negative tilt but it's still mostly in line with the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS 984 off DelMarVa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 imagine the meltdowns if the 6z Euro verified... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Phase, but a little later than the nam. Timing of capture matters for western interests. Resolution isn’t going to lock the timing within 6 hrs so its just a wobble. 967 bomb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What are you thinking?Guessing a foot here? Obviously a lot of upside potential; seen a lot of storms like this over the years that creep north and west (great name, btw) and blow up over us, like 2016 and 2021. I’ll stay conservative and say a foot for now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Slightly east but still a crush job for the coast East of what? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Rjay said: East of what? East of the nam is what I think he means. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 People need to save the PBP for folks that know what they are doing, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, cleetussnow said: East of the nam is what I think he means. That’s not what he meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Rjay said: East of what? Di Diaper duty is getting to me 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NJwx85 said: People need to save the PBP for folks that know what they are doing, thanks. Its varies depending on where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Phase, but a little later than the nam. Timing of capture matters for western interests. Resolution isn’t going to lock the timing within 6 hrs so its just a wobble. 967 bomb That's where the mesos come in. Globals can miss these slight variations 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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