bncho Posted Wednesday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:34 PM The CMC is all we got. I've got a decent track record for threads so maybe I can carry that on to this storm. It's four days out now so might as well separate this from the LR thread*. We need a lot of luck to make this happen. Prayers will be needed but they will not be enough. May the odds be ever in our favor! *mods may delete this if they deem fit 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted Wednesday at 08:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:36 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Wednesday at 09:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:27 PM Let's gooooooooooo I'm not out.... yet 18z icon is a rain miss South 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Wednesday at 09:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:30 PM I know you can bring this home Nachos, let's all eat like kings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Wednesday at 09:31 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:31 PM @stormtracker@WxUSAF can we get this pinned please. You can help bring this home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Wednesday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:33 PM Temu Geo Wash said it’s gonna be rain. He has spoken. He knows. Rain it shall be. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Wednesday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:32 PM Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 10:33 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 10:33 PM 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? Better than the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 11:10 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:10 PM 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! How many drinks have you had this evening?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Wednesday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:21 PM 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: How many drinks have you had this evening?! A few 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Wednesday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:26 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted Wednesday at 11:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:34 PM 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: if only this winter was colder than average... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM WB 18Z EPS: about 10% chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 12:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:16 AM WB 18Z AI EPS: maybe 30%.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM It's good when the storm has banana low pressure around it right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 12:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:34 AM I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). I haven't given up yet. The track keeps me intrigued, and the moving parts (maybe something will go right for once instead of wrong as with recent NC storm). And the simple fact that we have barely gotten any moisture since the snow/sleet beatdown storm. But like with the Euro image i posted above, I'm very worried about temps for my backyard even if the track trends toward "perfect." Silver Spring doesn't do marginal well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM 2 hours ago, Paleocene said: I haven't given up yet. The track keeps me intrigued, and the moving parts (maybe something will go right for once instead of wrong as with recent NC storm). And the simple fact that we have barely gotten any moisture since the snow/sleet beatdown storm. But like with the Euro image i posted above, I'm very worried about temps for my backyard even if the track trends toward "perfect." Silver Spring doesn't do marginal well. Well...if we can't get snow, rain wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. At least it'll clean off the cars 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted yesterday at 03:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:08 AM Let's reel this one in. Hey, storms this time of year create their own cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 04:20 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:20 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 04:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:33 AM We can’t even get this thing pinned. What a disgrace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted yesterday at 04:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:43 AM It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 05:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:02 AM 18 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain. That would be the second most exciting event of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 05:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:52 AM WB 0Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 05:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:53 AM Just now, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO I’ll take my 1” and love it. We’re back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted yesterday at 06:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:10 AM 41 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z AI!!! a bit souther but much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted yesterday at 08:11 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:11 AM 2 hours ago, peribonca said: a bit souther but much colder. Well, the problem is Will is an ass and posted an hr270 24hr snow map so that’s not for this weekend… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 08:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:34 AM 22 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Well, the problem is Will is an ass and posted an hr270 24hr snow map so that’s not for this weekend… I sure did. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 08:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:37 AM WB 0Z AI EPS at Day 5. About 40% with a hit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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