2/15-16: Slopocalypse or Bust

[Ji]

59 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I find this acceptable 

this 18z run is the biggest AI run in AI history

[Weather Will]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

this 18z run is the biggest AI run in AI history

Is it even remotely possible it can be correct, when none of the short range models show anything like it?

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

Is it even remotely possible it can be correct, when none of the short range models show anything like it?

Well… not none

https://twitter.com/weatherprof/status/2022432636526883311

[DDweatherman]

Don’t worry I’m sure the AI will be over Jacksonville at 18z

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z EURO AI is meh.

[Scraff]

Holy shit! This thread is still alive and kickin?? I gave up too early I suppose. Sign me up for some of that central / northern MD 2” paste bomb 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z AI is meh.

Good 

[DDweatherman]

Anyone have AI EPS/Eps yet? Interested what kinda stream interaction they might show

[H2O]

I’m just happy for the rain to clean the roads

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z 3K NAM and RDPS say you won't need the umbrella either from DC northward.

 

[87storms]

4 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Can’t believe the Euro baited and trolled us this entire time.  Lol

This is one of the weirdest looking storms at 250mb that I’ve seen, so maybe weird is our path to victory lol

[clskinsfan]

0Z HRRR is going to be north and wetter. At least we will get some rain out of this I think. 

[DDweatherman]

3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

0Z HRRR is going to be north and wetter. At least we will get some rain out of this I think. 

Definitely looks north. H36 streams are oriented closer to each other, may show some interaction in the later frames. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

what i think will happen

[TowsonWeather]

27 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

what i think will happen

Partly lasers with a 40% chance of scattered sparkles?

[WeatherGeek2025]

11 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

Partly lasers with a 40% chance of scattered sparkles?

are you mad you're getting rain?

[peribonca]

GFS phasing that northern stream more at 42...

[peribonca]

1 minute ago, peribonca said:

GFS phasing that northern stream more at 42...

And "boom"

[bncho]

Just now, peribonca said:

And "boom"

For Mitch and TSSN.

 

[Terpeast]

Just now, bncho said:

For Mitch and TSSN.

 

Roughly an inch of slush. I take

[Terpeast]

Nam 3k thermals did well on Jan 25.

[JVscotch]

5 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Nam 3k thermals did well on Jan 25.

This storm is different for us due to the phasing; which dramatically increases the chances of decent temperature shifts (either colder or warmer) depending on degree of phasing.  Since the NAM continues to trend towards more of a phase, I think it could adjust colder if that trend continues. It should have a better handle on things later tomorrow.  

[Interstate]

GFS. Lol

[paulythegun]

Look at these two friends getting together at the last minute

[rjvanals]

All the phasing is just giving us more cold rain here in the DC metro so let’s hope the GFS is wrong per usual 

[psuhoffman]

Guidance is converging on a perfect track rainstorm on pd weekend lol. perhaps another chapter in my book.

[psuhoffman]

yup that’s a rainstorm on Feb 15th!  

[Blizzard of 93]

The 0z Euro AI shows some snow by Monday am.