soadforecasterx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is what I have been trying to say. Our only hope is to get this phase. Lucky for us Euro Airs has trended towards the phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, we're all going to be celebrating!! And we’ll trust it, right 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Get ready for our first Namng coming soon I'm not buying the NAM at this range no matter what it says. Euro AIFS says go and it's been deadly this year, so it's go until it says otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: In an hour, we're all going to be celebrating!! @Scraff will be at happy hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: AIFS undeniably overdoes snow in marginal situations. I wish it didn't but it does. Can't hurt to see it improve but lean EPS/Euro blend + AI for funsie upside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS undeniably overdoes snow in marginal situations. I wish it didn't but it does. Can't hurt to see it improve but lean EPS/Euro blend + AI for funsie upside I’d rather see qpf mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: we’ll see where things end up! I’d spend an afternoon to hunt 2-4” for sure. Highk a 2-4in non elevation dependent is the best to hike up in. Keeps the roads passable but at the top of the mountain you get 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS undeniably overdoes snow in marginal situations. I wish it didn't but it does. Can't hurt to see it improve but lean EPS/Euro blend + AI for funsie upside It’s gonna be 50 on Saturday. What could possibly go wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, 87storms said: It’s gonna be 50 on Saturday. What could possibly go wrong. Jim Cantore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: I'm not buying the NAM at this range no matter what it says. Euro AIFS says go and it's been deadly this year, so it's go until it says otherwise. I hear ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: I’d rather see qpf mean Ask and ye shall receive 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, 87storms said: It’s gonna be 50 on Saturday. What could possibly go wrong. I know it's very event-dependent - but hasn't the whole "it was too warm leading in" argument been pretty much squashed? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Ask and ye shall receive Crazy how it’s the wettest model now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: I know it's very event-dependent - but hasn't the whole "it was too warm leading in" argument been pretty much squashed? We are so Back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is the real money trend. Does it continue? Idk 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 In @bncho YOU TRUST (with making threads)! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 38 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: AIFS ENS i love the euro twins but we need some other models to get on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: I'm not buying the NAM at this range no matter what it says. Euro AIFS says go and it's been deadly this year, so it's go until it says otherwise. Not to nitpick, but as recently as 6z today (and for most of its recent prior runs) the Euro AI showed us hardly getting any precip from the storm. That isn't exactly deadly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, bncho said: In @bncho YOU TRUST (with making threads)! Better hope the storm comes through or we be coming for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: I know it's very event-dependent - but hasn't the whole "it was too warm leading in" argument been pretty much squashed? Not when there’s basically no cold air incoming lol. But yes, it can snow when it’s warm the day before. I honestly am leaning towards this being more rain than snow. I’m not really buying this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 35 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: This is fools gold 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 20 minutes ago, 87storms said: Not when there’s basically no cold air incoming lol. But yes, it can snow when it’s warm the day before. I honestly am leaning towards this being more rain than snow. I’m not really buying this setup. Thank you Chuck. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Since we have no source of cold air, this is one of those times where location/climo is really going to matter. My guess? NW areas are going to do a lot better than SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 6 hours ago, bncho said: We have a 10% chance of 12+". Let's make it count! Alright, now we have a 25% chance of 10+". Let's make it count! 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 18Z 12K NAM looks more amped so far at HR 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Bring me my 2” of slush on the grass and remaining snowcover while the driveway stays wet. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Bring me my 2” of slush on the grass and remaining snowcover while the driveway stays wet. That’ll be better than your frontal passage lolololol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 12Z 12K HR 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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