2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino

[Typhoon Tip]

Oh, that looks like a smoking gun for CC adaptation in that temperature outlook. 

Not sure ... is that a straight model to publication? - or is it modified by forecaster(s) opinion en route to the public  

Because it looks damn well like they took the canonical linear El Nino correlation and then just moved it warmer by a click or two.   So instead of warm north cool south, you end up with very warm north and more neutral/average S.  

If. so... can't see I blame them.  I mean, we play this head game in here as responsible weather and climate minded people, where we are not deniers about CC ... we just play some avoidance and hedge away from it meaning warmer snow challenging winters ...haha.  At least a reticence to do so.  Anywho they don't have that luxury.  They necessarily need to be as close to accurate as they can be.