ineedsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Lightly snowing in leominster.. tiny flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Hrrr is nice. Congrats PYM county on 6-9” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Hrrr is nice. Congrats PYM county on 6-9” Ya we take!! also looks good here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 00z left ..06z right. Euro I mentioned this yesterday that there's a bit of a sneaky norlan look to this. Certainly an IVT of some sort. If the former turns out true and verifying, it is less likely the models will have nailed precisely where the "unscheduled" snow fall rates set up... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z HRRR even brings a little love up this way. Hope it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Some light OE with sun here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr is nice. Congrats PYM county on 6-9” Sign me up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya we take!! also looks good here Sure does ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Either way, it’s not here. Can barely contain my excitement for a half inch of wild blown snow and 10 tons of salt on the road Yeah this looks like more of a norlun event than a widespread plowable snow. I’m not expecting much from this, someone could end up with a surprise but I would think it’s a small area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z models look good. Congrats cstl Essex county I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago -SN in Cambridge/Boston out the window (office in Kendall Sq). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 42 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 00z left ..06z right. Euro I mentioned this yesterday that there's a bit of a sneaky norlan look to this. Certainly an IVT of some sort. If the former turns out true and verifying, it is less likely the models will have nailed precisely where the "unscheduled" snow fall rates set up... Yeah I think that’s been modeled for awhile. It’s feeling the tug from that H5 low. We get a little meso high over PWM to start and then a lobe from that PV starts digging S of LI and seems to really help back the flow over ENE as we get sfc pressure falls near the BM. I think that’s why we’ve seen a trend on that fropa being delayed Saturday and instead enhanced precip along that slowing sfc convergence zone (inv trough). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah this looks like more of a norlun event than a widespread plowable snow. I’m not expecting much from this, someone could end up with a surprise but I would think it’s a small area. Agreed. I think many who don’t end up in the Norlun are going to be disappointed. And good look pinning down exactly where it will set up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Central CT subsidence west of the IVT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. I think many who don’t end up in the Norlun are going to be disappointed. And good look pinning down exactly where it will set up. Most will get 1-3 outside of it. Even Kevin’s 2-4 seems reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah I think that’s been modeled for awhile. It’s feeling the tug from that H5 low. We get a little meso high over PWM to start and then a lobe from that PV starts digging S of LI and seems to really help back the flow over ENE as we get sfc pressure falls near the BM. I think that’s why we’ve seen a trend on that fropa being delayed Saturday and instead enhanced precip along that slowing sfc convergence zone (inv trough). Agreed. I don't believe the front really gets E of that trough axis... I think it kind of slows as it incurs on that thing's axis; then it collapses thru after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Most will get 1-3 outside of it. Even Kevin’s 2-4 seems reasonable. Yeah there’s general lift with the height falls and LL convergence does migrate across the region but where it slows down or temporarily stalls is where the jackpot will be. But I think almost everyone gets 1-2” minimum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Most will get 1-3 outside of it. Even Kevin’s 2-4 seems reasonable. What if I had said 3-6? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3k NAM gives BVY and Manchester-by-the-sea like 12-15”. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What if I had said 3-6? Too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3k NAM shifted the NOR west a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 26 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah this looks like more of a norlun event than a widespread plowable snow. I’m not expecting much from this, someone could end up with a surprise but I would think it’s a small area. Considering my town plows at 0.5" ... Seriously though, a general 1-3" should be what most people get. Some lucky few will pick up a couple more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. I think many who don’t end up in the Norlun are going to be disappointed. And good look pinning down exactly where it will set up. Nobody would ever think you’d feel any other way. A life:outlook of utter disappointment constantly for TBlizz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3k NAM shifted the NOR west a bit Looking like elevation event in our area judging by those totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Pushing 200 joules of SBCAPE just offshore with big low/mid level omega in the DGZ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pushing 200 joules of SBCAPE just offshore with big low/mid level omega in the DGZ. I asked Chat GPT to give me a hand with this one - how do you think it did? "There’s a little bit of instability offshore, but strong upward motion in the part of the atmosphere where snow forms, which means good potential for precipitation (especially snow) even though the overall energy isn’t very high." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nobody would ever think you’d feel any other way. A life:outlook of utter disappointment constantly for TBlizz. Expect a couple of inches and no one will be dissapointed. It's on a weekend...bring the refresher IMO. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago highway crews dropping tons of salt and spray here lol. what a waste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Layman said: I asked Chat GPT to give me a hand with this one - how do you think it did? "There’s a little bit of instability offshore, but strong upward motion in the part of the atmosphere where snow forms, which means good potential for precipitation (especially snow) even though the overall energy isn’t very high." We’re not trying to pop supercells in June here. That’s pretty unstable for snowfall. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3k NAM shifted the NOR west a bit Narragansett Bay snow hole accurately modeled... Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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