Is we back? February discussion thread

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, dendrite said:

Was looking at 1917-18 at CON. Man that was wild.

Nov -4.8 4.4”
Dec -12.6 22.2”
Jan -9.0 17.3”
Feb -7.4 14.8”
Mar -1.7 15.3”
Apr -1.0 10.2”

This is how the average snow weenie pictures every winter 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Was looking at 1917-18 at CON. Man that was wild.

Nov -4.8 4.4”
Dec -12.6 22.2”
Jan -9.0 17.3”
Feb -7.4 14.8”
Mar -1.7 15.3”
Apr -1.0 10.2”

Wonder if that was global or if it was just local thing

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

When was the last time it rained? I don’t even remember. It’s been snow on snow on snow on snow. Even next week may be snow . Record salt season on everything 

It’s been secret stein since NY. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s been secret stein since NY. 

Isn’t there about 2” in the pack?

[dendrite]

Fun fact..

CON’s 2 coldest max temps on record both happened on 12/29

-5 in 1917 and -11 in 1933

 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Isn’t there about 2” in the pack?

What other moisture have we had since NY? Not much. 

[dendrite]

Yeah most of the QPF came from the SWFE. There’s about 2-3” in the pack for most though. 

[dendrite]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is how the average snow weenie pictures every winter 

Sox fans trolling Yankee fans via telegraph after a 5th World Series too.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What other moisture have we had since NY? Not much. 

Just heavy heavy snows 

[SouthCoastMA]

CMC trying to get some light snow for Monday by way of nstream vortmax

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just heavy heavy snows 

Imagine if we had normal QPF.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Imagine if we had normal QPF.

Stein spring and summer?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein spring and summer?

If we transition to Nino, I don't think Stein and summer may be cooler than recent ones.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If we transition to Nino, I don't think Stein and summer may be cooler than recent ones.

Transitions from Nina to Nino usually good in the severe department too 

[ORH_wxman]

GFS pretty snowy next week. Looks a lot like Euro right now. 

[tamarack]

3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

People have to remember that 90% of the forum cares about snow. Nobody is going to get excited for a high of 24 and a low of 5F in late February if there’s no snow with it. 
 

They’ll gladly take a high of 35-40F if it means a better shot at snow a few days later. 
 

Nobody remembers March 2018 or March 2017 for “slowly melting”, they remember them for the huge snow events and deep pack that dominated those months. 

March 2018 temps 1-15 were 5.1° AN and 36.4" snow fell.  Rest of the month was 4.0° BN (and 3° colder than 1-15) but had only 0.7" snow.

1917-18 included NYC's coldest week.  Dec 29-Jan 4 temp avg was 9.3/-44 - that's 32.7 BN.  12/30 had 2/-13, 41 BN. 
(Dec 1917 and Jan 1918 are NYC's coldest for each month since records began in 1869.)

[dendrite]

Yeah a couple of gradient events. I’m running out of places to put it.

[ORH_wxman]

Big boy Scooter high in Quebec for the late week system....if we can get enough dPVA to curl into that monster, we'd have a nice high-QPF SWFE.....but if you keep things too sheared, might be kind of weak. GFS was attenuating quickly...so it starts off decent and weakens....but having a little crunched isn't the worst thing a week out. 

[ineedsnow]

38 minutes ago, Massplow said:

There’s a huge salt shortage because of it. Very tough to get salt 

Our town was out for a bit

[HoarfrostHubb]

33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is how the average snow weenie pictures every winter 

It was like that every winter growing up.  Always cold.  Always snowy.  
 

(wakes from his dream)

[Typhoon Tip]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS pretty snowy next week. Looks a lot like Euro right now. 

Coming around is it -

[Typhoon Tip]

yeah.. not a 'major' event per se, but that is a significant wholesale correction S with this 12z GFS solution toward the end of week compared to prior runs.

[Typhoon Tip]

I'm also still willing to entertain more ice involved between that and the short order cook round two. 

[CT Rain]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Big boy Scooter high in Quebec for the late week system....if we can get enough dPVA to curl into that monster, we'd have a nice high-QPF SWFE.....but if you keep things too sheared, might be kind of weak. GFS was attenuating quickly...so it starts off decent and weakens....but having a little crunched isn't the worst thing a week out. 

Yeah that's a cold look. Hoping next week delivers!

[Typhoon Tip]

Is the 23-26th one of those climate snow holes ?

[CoastalWx]

Canadian is rain with the first overruning low, but definitely colder and snowier for the second one. Seems like the biggest issue we face is the first low. At least as of now.

[Typhoon Tip]

The deviant in me would love to see this parked on MVY ...  just plunk it there and go ahead and call the National Guard

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian is rain with the first overruning low, but definitely colder and snowier for the second one. Seems like the biggest issue we face is the first low. At least as of now.

If that first low can help set the stage for the subsequent systems I'd sacrifice that being more of a mix or even rain. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Near missed bible phase

[ma blizzard]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Near missed bible phase

Yeah thats a big storm look at 500 for D10