dendrite Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 GWDLINYC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 31 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah it’s too cutoff otherwise and just happily chugs east. I still love what the gfs did with it. WTF is that? I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a storm move that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: WTF is that? I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a storm move that way. I've seen some tropical cyclones due that post landfall...bout it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Everyone is dropping their pants to this winter, but if you take the snow goggles off, it’s surprising we only had one good storm and that took a gulf low ramming into an arctic dome. Think about that for a second. Exactly how many 12 inch plus storms do you think we have on an annual basis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 No was that s stream is getting up here on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Exactly how many 12 inch plus storms do you think we have on an annual basis You'd hope for more than 1 warning event, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Exactly how many 12 inch plus storms do you think we have on an annual basis The average of those are based on good patterns and bad patterns. We had a pretty good pattern, but we couldn’t buy a coastal which to me would be surprising if you told me that five months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The average of those are based on good patterns and bad patterns. We had a pretty good pattern, but we couldn’t buy a coastal which to me would be surprising if you told me that five months ago. I'm really not surprised given the MJO....SWFE dearth I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm really not surprised given the MJO....SWFE death I am. Yeah that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The average of those are based on good patterns and bad patterns. We had a pretty good pattern, but we couldn’t buy a coastal which to me would be surprising if you told me that five months ago. 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm really not surprised given the MJO....SWFE death I am. Patience grasshoppers 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm really not surprised given the MJO....SWFE death I am. I’d still think this longwave look should’ve produced at least one or two solid coastals. Only fly in the ointment is you can see the western ridge getting sliced off a bit in Canada, we know at least a couple systems failed on us because we couldn’t quite amplify it enough out west. But even with that showing up minorly in the mean, it’s still surprising we didn’t pop at least a miller B or two. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 hours ago, dendrite said: 35°? ASH runs a couple warm too. I don’t have time for facts. Was just guessing. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Bone dry pattern continues. Not even rain either, just dry. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’d still think this longwave look should’ve produced at least one or two solid coastals. Only fly in the ointment is you can see the western ridge getting sliced off a bit in Canada, we know at least a couple systems failed on us because we couldn’t quite amplify it enough out west. But even with that showing up minorly in the mean, it’s still surprising we didn’t pop at least a miller B or two. See that’s telling right there. Because you’re right and it kind of validates my thinking too about coastals, but we’ve also commented on that stupid trough backing its ass up south of Alaska screwing things up too. That’s definitely porked us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, CoastalWx said: See that’s telling right there. Because you’re right and it kind of validates my thinking too about coastals, but we’ve also commented on that stupid trough backing its ass up south of Alaska screwing things up too. That’s definitely porked us. Potential no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You'd hope for more than 1 warning event, though. Had two here…12/26/25. But ya otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Potential no? Verbatim that shortwave NW of Buffalo is gonna kick it out. Need that southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Had two here…12/26/25. But ya otherwise. Yes, I'm aware 12/26 crushed you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Bone dry pattern continues. Not even rain either, just dry. @Damage In Tollanddo you think with this continued stein, it could set us up with a nice spring inferno potential? Those super dry, sunny, and windy April days can be dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I'd take whatever the CMC is advertising for Saturday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I'd take whatever the CMC is advertising for Saturday: Lol now it’s back to Saturday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: @Damage In Tollanddo you think with this continued stein, it could set us up with a nice spring inferno potential? Those super dry, sunny, and windy April days can be dangerous. I don’t think it’s been Stein. It’s snowed a lot in the last 50 days . There’s probably 2” of liquid in the pack with more coming tonight . Im worried about a nasty cold late spring because of the frozen Great Lakes and frigid SST’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 That’s just a weenie piece of the PV spinning down our way. A quick in and out cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Probably some good SHSN with it though with how low those thicknesses are. Upper level temps tank in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 If this happens I am done lol. WOR nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Probably some good SHSN with it though with how low those thicknesses are. Upper level temps tank in NNE. Ginx would love that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: If this happens I am done lol. WOR nightmare. That’s up to Sunday the 15th lol. That’s fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ginx would love that. After that IVT absolutely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 It's almost like the GFS is dropping the W into a -EPO tendency in the first week, and then walking away Meanwhile, the index interpretation is offers uncertainy. That N. Pac thing from late Novie through Dec is back in its haunt, but it's not clear whether it will mean same or similar or somehow idiosyncratically different over the eastern N/A continent. This looks like a cold stormy pattern at a glance but that ridge up there is sort of in the hybrid WPO/EPO space which complicates matters, particularly if it is resonant and not moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Verbatim that shortwave NW of Buffalo is gonna kick it out. Need that southwest. That's 150 miles N of 0z let's get a trend going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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