The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[Ji]

GEFS west so far

[Nomz]

I wouldn't even be mad if a fujiwhara effect screwed us out of snow. This is some 1991 Perfect Storm shit.

[Nomz]

Just now, FatherNature said:

Remember guys, Canada has never won a Super Bowl.

Nor an SEC championship

[The Dude]

9 minutes ago, astarck said:

 

Just keep posting.  Just keep posting.  Just keep posting.

[Disc]

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

[paulythegun]

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

Ukmet has been the extreme northeastern outlier on this one. It's just trying to get home...

[Nomz]

2 minutes ago, Disc said:

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

Been OTS every run

[Ji]

[Ji]

is this good?

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, Disc said:

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.

[Quasievil]

Hugging the GFS, ahh. That’s where we are. Yikes.

[Climate175]

Just now, Ji said:

is this good?

Definitely. 

[HighStakes]

All that matters is that the Euro comes back to what it had Sunday. Just need it to keep steadily improving each run.

[Solution Man]

6 minutes ago, Nomz said:

Nor an SEC championship

Since we’re talking football neither has he

[LeesburgWx]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

is this good?

Looks great

[overcautionisbad]

GFS take me home, to the place I belong

[bncho]

holy shit is my reaction regarding the GEFS

[Amped]

13 minutes ago, Ji said:

im tossing the cat 3 hurricane

 

Thats an impressive shallow warm core 22mb pressure drop over like 50 miles.

[overcautionisbad]

Just now, bncho said:

holy shit is my reaction regarding the GEFS

Wait, how is that going to fall from the sky?

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

is this good?

Damn

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, HighStakes said:

All that matters is that the Euro comes back to what it had Sunday. Just need it to keep steadily improving each run.

I'd even settle for a hold

[overcautionisbad]

Here, Euro Euro Euro. Come on boy! Come here!

[WxMan1]

This is an excellent opportunity to consider the 'self-development process'. True, the upper levels (amplification) dictate what goes on at lower levels. Cyclogenesis, frontogenesis, etc. 

However whenever you can get an overabundance of sensible and diabatic heating into the system (i.e. over the Atlantic Gulf Stream), you can actually get the low-level dynamics to reform what happens aloft. In other words, accelerated amplification in the upper trough that isn't solely from exit region upper forcing upstream (i.e. DPVA). It's all about what the Atlantic can do for us. The Gulf Stream as well as those shelf waters. This would be a good time actually for positive SST anomalies. 

[bncho]

GEFS has like a 7" snowfall mean for DC at 10:1

[Ji]

I asked for a Fish and chat GPT gave me this and this unfunny line

 

[Solution Man]

Just need to see a west progression from Euro

[Cobalt]

8 minutes ago, Disc said:

UKMET is nowhere close to the GFS. Gonna be mostly OTS.

Better trough orientation than 12z but considering that 12z was uber OTS that ain't gonna cut it

[NorthArlington101]

GEFS median thru 111

[EHoffman]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

I asked for a Fish and chat GPT gave me this and this unfunny line

 

Idk I laughed

[bncho]

GEFS mean skyrocketed!