The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[Bob Chill]

Just now, stormtracker said:

RGEM is positive step vs 18z, but NAM is better.   I call it a win tho

It might have worked. Really close but hard to say. CMC will extrapolate it for us shortly 

[stormtracker]

Now we await the King.    The GFS.

[Nomz]

RGEM west of the GFS but not as negative at end of run. More area to work with, but more work to do. Call it about even.

[Solution Man]

RGEM, NAM at range and GFS for now

[LP08]

Starting to wrap up in western TN is pretty close to good

[Buddy1987]

2 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Some of this seems to be timing also? RGEM looks to be a few hours slower with the entire sequence of events than it was for 18z. 

 

Just now, Ji said:

yea its slower.may not be more west

Def more west for sure.. same time was around Poplar Bluff or southeast Missouri now stretching back toward western Missouri. I just don’t personally like the heights in the northeast. 

[Ji]

same place as GFS but not nearly as amped. 

[LeesburgWx]

5 mile tick east on the GFS and this place will go up in flames 

[Ji]

Just now, Buddy1987 said:

 

Def more west for sure.. same time was around Poplar Bluff or southeast Missouri now stretching back toward western Missouri. I just don’t personally like the heights in the northeast. 

yea heights are definitely flatter.....

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Now we await the King.    The GFS.

if GFS is east----going to be bed. No way the Euro will be better

[Climate175]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

5 mile tick east on the GFS and this place will go up in flames 

5 mile tick west and we get a “Folks”? 

[jayyy]

Def more west for sure.. same time was around Poplar Bluff or southeast Missouri now stretching back toward western Missouri. I just don’t personally like the heights in the northeast. 

It was going to be VERY close. We’ll see shortly on the Canadian

[DraydenWX]

Bunch of straight up, junkies sitting here waiting for the next weather model fix. 

[H2O]

4 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

RGEM, NAM at range and GFS for now

We should all feel at ease now with these 3 in the same camp

[jayyy]

Bunch of straight up, junkies sitting here waiting for the next weather model fix. 

I see no false statements.

[Climate175]

1 minute ago, DraydenWX said:

Bunch of straight up, junkies sitting here waiting for the next weather model fix. 

I’m awaiting the play by play commentary from the usual individuals lol. 

[H2O]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Now we await the King.    The GFS.

When you compare verification scores of the gfs to the gfs it’s 100%

[Ji]

1 minute ago, H2O said:

We should all feel at ease now with these 3 in the same camp

lol the terrifying trifecta

[overcautionisbad]

Calling it now. GFS goes way East and Euro way West. 

 

That way we don’t know what to think

[Buddy1987]

Take us to the promised land Randy! About that time

[LeesburgWx]

Who has ICON ensembles? They looked good at 18z

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

Well the midday runs sucked ass

Almost time for to draft, anyway, stop looking for snow.

[stormtracker]

And we're off

[benjammin]

I can't deal with staying up for the Euro and then going to sleep after dreams are crushed.

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[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said:

Calling it now. GFS goes way East and Euro way West. 

 

That way we don’t know what to think

GFS tends to be stubborn most of the time, in this case since the solution is wonky it might waffle but ordinarily whatever it shows around 96-120 it holds til like 36-48 when it caves.

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

And we're off

the cliff

[mitchnick]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Who has ICON ensembles? They looked good at 18z

Not quite as good 0z. 

[overcautionisbad]

Just now, Ji said:

the cliff

Ah, we'll get one next time

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, benjammin said:

I can't deal with staying up for the Euro and then going to sleep after dreams are crushed.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
 

Yes you can

[Rvarookie]

Just give us a little powder so I can have some grip when walking dog lol.