February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[winterwx21]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Tonight's GFS keeps most of the accumulation just to our south -- a very close call. NAM does bring the accumulating snow across our area Thursday afternoon, but only 1 to 2 inches. CMC has slower timing, bringing it in late at night, and has a wintry mix. Certainly a little something to watch with 3 days to go. 

[winterwx21]

GFS and CMC give us snow early next week. We're long overdue for a March snow event, so hopefully it'll happen. Since we're having a cold/snowy winter this year, I think there's a good chance that we'll break our March snow drought. 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS and CMC give us snow early next week. We're long overdue for a March snow event, so hopefully it'll happen. Since we're having a cold/snowy winter this year, I think there's a good chance that we'll break our March snow drought. 

Gefs is enthused next week

[MJO812]

Ukie is also nice for next week

[MJO812]

Gefs includes this week and next week

 

[MJO812]

Ai euro has 1-3 for this week

[Nibor]

Normies are gonna be so sick of winter lol

[MJO812]

Euro likes the clipper and next week 

[MJO812]

Frigid lol

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

Nam for clipper 

[MJO812]

3k nam

[North and West]

Gefs includes this week and next week
 

Getting concerned about flood potential in the usual places.


.

[Northof78]

Im assuming all models are south/suppressed for Thu/Fri?

[crossbowftw3]

1 hour ago, North and West said:

Getting concerned about flood potential in the usual places.


.

Up to 2-3’ of new snows meeting a warmup and rains is never good…

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Up to 2-3’ of new snows meeting a warmup and rains is never good…

A piece of good news is that the models don’t currently have a heavy 1.50”+ rainstorm in the near future. The best outcome going forward would be a series of weaker lows like the current runs are showing without much total QPF. This way we could see many days with gradual melt with highs into the 40s and the increasing sun angle. Hopefully, a heavy rainstorm holds off until early March after the snowpack has had a chance to melt gradually.

[the_other_guy]

27 minutes ago, bluewave said:

A piece of good news is that the models don’t currently have a heavy 1.50”+ rainstorm in the near future. The best outcome going forward would be a series of weaker lows like the current runs are showing without much total QPF. This way we could see many days with gradual melt with highs into the 40s and the increasing sun angle. Hopefully, a heavy rainstorm holds off until early March after the snowpack has had a chance to melt gradually.

yeah, I don’t know what flooding rain they’re talking about.

 

Gradual melting with snow chances over next week

[Santa Claus]

i’m pretty bullish on the melting with Fri Sat Sun looking sunny and relatively warm

[SACRUS]

27 / 14  near or sub freezing but bright sunshine should compact and melt some on the southwest facing areas. Mix / wet snow Tue into Wed.   Then 5 days in the 40s and perhaps 50s (Saturday) will take its toll Wed - Sunday.  Back colder to open March work week with the next strom potential looming 3/4 and a period as well of much below 48 hours arctic blast being hinted in the 3/4-3/6 period.  Beyond there much warmer for the period 3/8 - mid month- first 60s - 70s could be in site but thats way into the beyond.