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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

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Tonight's GFS keeps most of the accumulation just to our south -- a very close call. NAM does bring the accumulating snow across our area Thursday afternoon, but only 1 to 2 inches. CMC has slower timing, bringing it in late at night, and has a wintry mix. Certainly a little something to watch with 3 days to go. 

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7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS and CMC give us snow early next week. We're long overdue for a March snow event, so hopefully it'll happen. Since we're having a cold/snowy winter this year, I think there's a good chance that we'll break our March snow drought. 

Gefs is enthused next week

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1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Up to 2-3’ of new snows meeting a warmup and rains is never good…

A piece of good news is that the models don’t currently have a heavy 1.50”+ rainstorm in the near future. The best outcome going forward would be a series of weaker lows like the current runs are showing without much total QPF. This way we could see many days with gradual melt with highs into the 40s and the increasing sun angle. Hopefully, a heavy rainstorm holds off until early March after the snowpack has had a chance to melt gradually.

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