TriPol Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Jersey Shore Special. Reminds me of December 1988. MacArthur airport reported a blizzard while NYC barely got flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oceanctyguy Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 22 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice. Warning level snows Jersey shore. I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, TriPol said: We just had a foot of snow. The Hudson River is almost frozen over. And Don is doing a pbp of the 84 hour NAM. Are we this desperate? Should we be looking at the JMA which scored a coup 20 years ago? I just wanted to illustrate that it makes a difference which low will be dominant. The lead wave and the storm will almost certainly pass far too the east with little impact on most of the NYC area. If it's the second one, the storm will be more impactful. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Must be some interesting lows on the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 More spread on the EPS. Previous runs were super consolidated with the tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Again there aren’t huge changes needed for a significant to major storm for most. The kicker stays behind a little bit, the low closes off a little later/NE, the vorticity is a little less strung out/messy as it clears the coast. Eventually it becomes clear it won’t work out and you have to fold your hand but we’re not there yet. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Ukie ensembles bring 0.3 qpf into boroughs at 12z it was 0 lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ukie ensembles bring 0.3 qpf into boroughs at 12z it was 0 lol Yep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 14 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ukie ensembles bring 0.3 qpf into boroughs at 12z it was 0 lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 52 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I would be more optimistic if I lived out on the island. For those of us in the NW crew, this one is over and I’m fine with it. I had 20” on Sunday and 4 or 5 plowable snowfalls before that. Also my roof is happier. This is definitely one for the coastal people. Plenty of snow on the ground here too. I hope it does come together for those to the S and E. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Sref 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Decent trends. It’s breathing heavy again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 49 minutes ago, oceanctyguy said: Nice. Warning level snows Jersey shore. I'll take it. That would probably require blizzard warnings from Cape May to Sandy Hook (if that scenario played out verbatim) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, UKWeatherGeek. said: ECM18z gives NYC 5mm precip / 9.4cm snow. E LI 24mm/34cm. Boston 34mm/47cm. Speak English. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sref Ant is it within its range ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said: Speak English. I read that and thought - wtf is a kilometer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: Would be close to blizzard criteria if euro verified wonder what the lowest total blizzard amount is for nyc?? I think there was one in January 1948 with 4 or 5 inches during a great stretch of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 10 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Ant is it within its range ? No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking. Serious ? No we dont 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 13 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Ant is it within its range ? No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking. Did you not just see the euro? One more like that an it's a blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 21 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Decent trends. It’s breathing heavy again. More like it’s a mini miracle and the breathing tube isn’t needed anymore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No thought not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 20 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I read that and thought - wtf is a kilometer I had to think too much to figure out that he was using 15:1 ratios at all of those locations. If this thing hits LI, it'll be around 10:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Major difference is the PNA ridge amplification. I’d like to see that continue tonight. It would amplify the trough downstream. This would pull it further SW. Look at the height trends starting to rise off the east coast. I don’t think we’re out of the game yet. It’s the bottom of the 7th but we have a few runners on and we’re down by a few runs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oceanctyguy Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 31 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: That would probably require blizzard warnings from Cape May to Sandy Hook (if that scenario played out verbatim) Thinking the same. Even if we get nothing winds will still be strong especially near the coasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 If a weather weenies mental health crisis were to occur with 00z or 12z runs, I hope the victim also has a chiropractor. The whiplash could be deadly...(AKA 2010) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 18 minutes ago, jdj5211 said: Major difference is the PNA ridge amplification. I’d like to see that continue tonight. It would amplify the trough downstream. This would pull it further SW. Look at the height trends starting to rise off the east coast. I don’t think we’re out of the game yet. It’s the bottom of the 7th but we have a few runners on and we’re down by a few runs! I know a guy from another board who has said we're getting hit by this storm all along. If we keep trending this way, he'll be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 hours ago, NJwx85 said: I really hate Miller A’s. Feast or famon and more often than not, the latter. On the other hand Miller As you generally will get an all snow event. Miller B often brings a mixed bag thanks to that inland primary low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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