Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[Kitz Craver]

18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I think some members are throwing off the mean

Still a 25% chance for accumulating snows in CTRV. Not totally dead I suppose 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I count 8 decent-good hits.

The number of good hits has been steadily shrinking, something to keep in mind for the  ever optimistic folks that are holding on to the euro.

Additionally, it’s pretty much all or nothing. Either it’s a good storm, or it whiffs 

[Fozz]

Man I’m disappointed. I would’ve liked at least a moderate storm out of this, but I guess this one won’t be it.

Congrats Cape, this one might be yours.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The number of good hits has been steadily shrinking, something to keep in mind for the  ever optimistic folks that are holding on to the euro.

Additionally, it’s pretty much all or nothing. Either it’s a good storm, or it whiffs 

there's more good hits on the 12z compared to 6z

[Wxbear25]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

there's more good hits on the 12z compared to 6z

thats what it looked like based on solely the SLP placements too... Definitely more that go both left and far right, so something is causing divergence somewhere along the line

[SouthCoastMA]

The euro is definitely keeping me interested. Guilty. I'm not locking it in or everything but I'm in until it caves towards the others. The 12z ECM-AI EPS were also a small tick better, despite the ECM-AI OP going a hair SE. 

[Damage In Tolland]

26 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

cant give up yet some of those members are 

There’s like 25 or so that give us snow . Interesting 

[H2Otown_WX]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s like 25 or so that give us snow . Interesting 

I only count 10 or so back here. Maybe a couple more out your way.

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, Layman said:

My forecast is that this one trends up and in

we look forward to verification from Ray on Monday afternoon 

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s like 25 or so that give us snow . Interesting 

TFlizz says no…lol. 

[weatherwiz]

Starting to even wonder if this ends up being a bit of a bust within the mid-Atlantic. Getting harder to argue against the convection stealing the show

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

TFlizz says no…lol. 

Do you see 25 members there that give him snow? I certainly do not.

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Do you see 25 members there that give him snow? I certainly do not.

About 14 for east central CT

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

About 14 for east central CT

Yeah, so nowhere near 25, and the ones that do, for the most part, are scraping his area with .1 

I wouldn’t exactly call that a robust signal, but what do I know 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, so nowhere near 25, and the ones that do, for the most part, are scraping his area with .1 

I wouldn’t exactly call that a robust signal, but what do I know 

I think this is a miss except for the Cape….but he’s definitely not completely out, and you certainly aren’t either.  It’s a long shot no doubt, but you’re just constantly so f’n negative…it’s bizarre to be honest.    Bottom line is, it wouldn’t take much at all for you to get a good snow out of this. But like you said…what do you know? 

[dryslot]

You know its bad when the argument is about how many panels have snow. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

About 14 for east central CT

Round up to 25 obviously…

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, so nowhere near 25, and the ones that do, for the most part, are scraping his area with .1 

I wouldn’t exactly call that a robust signal, but what do I know 

A week and a half ago…you told everybody good luck with getting this storm that just gave you 20”, good luck getting it up here…so ya, you don’t know much, except for constant negativity.  

[CoastalWx]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Round up to 25 obviously…

Can always go higher?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, so nowhere near 25, and the ones that do, for the most part, are scraping his area with .1 

I wouldn’t exactly call that a robust signal, but what do I know 

Watch out. The forum ICE captain will come for you…

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

A week and a half ago…you tons everybody good luck with getting this storm that just gave you 20”, good luck getting it up here…so ya, you don’t know much, except for constant negativity.  

I mean, at the time, it was a miss for all. This isn’t even in the same stratosphere though. I guess when you’re constantly calling for event to come back or to hit or whatever, you’re bound to run into a few 

[dryslot]

Coatings and traces add up.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Watch out. The forum ICE captain will come for you…

Too late. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Too late. 

[ineedsnow]

18z 3k is in a much better spot compared to the 12k NAM at hr 60

[Wxbear25]

is it me, or are isopleth's overlapping here lol

This is the ugliest looking thing I think I have ever seen

*edit - Ok, I see it now, the 531 perfectly matches the NJ coastline and the "overlap" is just perfectly timed to when they pinch-off from one another

[weatherwiz]

Guess we'll just call this the storm that could have been. I for sure thought this was going to come up the coast days ago but totally wrong on that. dendrites post this morning illustrated why it wasn't happening and those signals with trough, dPVA, and dynamics were there the whole time to tell the story. 

[kdxken]

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z 3k is in a much better spot compared to the 12k NAM at hr 60

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Man... I don't know where y'all find the patience to carry on with this one.. If this was a gf I'd-a done told the bitch to get the fuck out two days ago.  

[Kitz Craver]

21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You really love bringing politics into weather, huh?