The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[buckeyefan1]

3k NAM at 12z crushes CAE  

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Spectrum

[ADB83]

If the NAM 3k verifies central South Carolina rejoices and North Carolina has tons of milk that goes bad. This would extend the 2608 day streak in Greensboro of no snow falls above 4 inches


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[Ravens94]

For sanity of us all don't really pay attention to the exact amounts on models exp the NAM. Just use them for the trends. The location of the bands is likely to be within the area of best forcing from the coastal formation. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

WXII

[MOD]

[PackGrad05]

I think it's safe to say that most folks in the triangle (and especially Wake) will not see any substantial snow until lunch time or after...

Which is going to have a lot of people around here saying, "Where is the snow!?"  

Trends show much of our snow coming from the coastal low

[TriadTom_wxm]

5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Now can we toss the NAM? It’s all over the damn place.

yep toss it. Very all over the place. I think now is the time to just start whatever "bring the snow" ritual you have

[SnowGoose69]

WSW in GA is being expanded SW shortly over ATL.  I think it should have been a county back anyway.  Decent chance of the threshold being met 

[Ravens94]

Without even minding what the surface looks like here is where there is a ton of instability. Likely to be thundersnow and in these bands rates of 2-3 per hour. 

[HWY316wx]

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

WSW in GA is being expanded SW shortly over ATL.  I think it should have been a county back anyway.  Decent chance of the threshold being met 

2 WSW's inside of 7 days.  Glory days.  

Good to see you around these parts.  Always enjoy your postings when we get into these things.

[Tony Sisk]

46 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

what the heck is up with Upper Greenville, Pickens and Oconee Counties in Upstate SC???

[lilj4425]

1 minute ago, Tony Sisk said:

what the heck is up with Upper Greenville, Pickens and Oconee Counties in Upstate SC???

Downsloping.

[Tony Sisk]

40 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

once again NorthWest SC getting the dry slot. urgh

[strongwxnc]

UNCA will be sending Balloons  up starting at 6 Pm today

 

[NorthHillsWx]

40 minutes ago, eyewall said:

It is hard to believe we are nearing the start of this event. May the odds be ever in our favor. I am ready to go mobile if I have to in order to get into the FGEN band if it decides to miss my area. 

6” is the goal for us. That’s aggressive but this is a storm to do it 

[UpStateCAD]

quick question for those in the know.   We are seeing some variations in predicted snowfall across the Carolinas, but I am seeing some decent differences in ratios as well.    For example for my area (KGMU) the 12Z nam is showing ratios between 19:1 and 23:1 while the GFS is showing values between 12:1 and 18:1.   Which model tends to do a better job address snow ratios?

[UpstateSCBud]

17 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Now can we toss the NAM? It’s all over the damn place.

Hell no it’s set up the sweet spot of the upstate right over me in Laurens county. Clearly the NAM has to be the most accurate currently

[ADB83]

6” is the goal for us. That’s aggressive but this is a storm to do it 

Very doable for Raleigh.


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[odell.moton]

once again NorthWest SC getting the dry slot. urgh

Its one model relax most forecast has us 4-7 lets go with that and call it a day

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Fayetteville

[Bevo]

55 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

It literally looks like Mother Nature is fed up with our complaining about the lack of snow these last four years and is putting her hand over our mouths. Like, "Take this and just be quiet!" LOL

[lilj4425]

2 minutes ago, UpstateSCBud said:

Euro had a meso low developing over the upstate which is why the euro kept spitting out huge amounts for this area. Appears the 3k NAM picked up on it 

Correct. The latest GSP forecast discussion does a really good job talking about this potential meso low. That’s what will give us our good snow if it forms correctly. 

[UpstateSCBud]

1 minute ago, lilj4425 said:

Correct. The latest GSP forecast discussion does a really good job talking about this potential meso low. That’s what will give us our good snow if it forms correctly. 

We can only hope my upstate friend. The fact that the euro has it and now the high resolution models are picking up on it only favors us 

[donsutherland1]

For reference:

[BooneWX]

Before we get started on this event, I just want to express one more time how enjoyable this week has been. I wouldn’t want to piss away time on my phone with any other psychopaths! It was good to see so many names I haven’t seen in a while and we may not be done yet. The pattern says we get sleep no time soon. Buckle up baby!

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

For reference:

I remember CHS airport closed for a week back in 2018.  I could not believe there was no snow removal equipment within a reasonable driving distance.  They just waited for it to melt

[UnionCountyNCWX]

29 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Spectrum

 they decided to put 0 effort in making that call map lol

[donsutherland1]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

I remember CHS airport closed for a week back in 2018.  I could not believe there was no snow removal equipment within a reasonable driving distance.  They just waited for it to melt

Very interesting. I hope that they have since purchased some snow removal equipment. 

[suzook]

Lol....wsw for ATL. Air is dry as a bone around here. That front end will be virga. 1 inch max for ATL proper. Flurries south of ATL