buckeyefan1 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3k NAM at 12z crushes CAE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Spectrum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 If the NAM 3k verifies central South Carolina rejoices and North Carolina has tons of milk that goes bad. This would extend the 2608 day streak in Greensboro of no snow falls above 4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 For sanity of us all don't really pay attention to the exact amounts on models exp the NAM. Just use them for the trends. The location of the bands is likely to be within the area of best forcing from the coastal formation. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 WXII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MOD Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I think it's safe to say that most folks in the triangle (and especially Wake) will not see any substantial snow until lunch time or after... Which is going to have a lot of people around here saying, "Where is the snow!?" Trends show much of our snow coming from the coastal low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriadTom_wxm Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Now can we toss the NAM? It’s all over the damn place. yep toss it. Very all over the place. I think now is the time to just start whatever "bring the snow" ritual you have 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 WSW in GA is being expanded SW shortly over ATL. I think it should have been a county back anyway. Decent chance of the threshold being met 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Without even minding what the surface looks like here is where there is a ton of instability. Likely to be thundersnow and in these bands rates of 2-3 per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: WSW in GA is being expanded SW shortly over ATL. I think it should have been a county back anyway. Decent chance of the threshold being met 2 WSW's inside of 7 days. Glory days. Good to see you around these parts. Always enjoy your postings when we get into these things. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 46 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: what the heck is up with Upper Greenville, Pickens and Oconee Counties in Upstate SC??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, Tony Sisk said: what the heck is up with Upper Greenville, Pickens and Oconee Counties in Upstate SC??? Downsloping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 40 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: once again NorthWest SC getting the dry slot. urgh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 UNCA will be sending Balloons up starting at 6 Pm today 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 40 minutes ago, eyewall said: It is hard to believe we are nearing the start of this event. May the odds be ever in our favor. I am ready to go mobile if I have to in order to get into the FGEN band if it decides to miss my area. 6” is the goal for us. That’s aggressive but this is a storm to do it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 quick question for those in the know. We are seeing some variations in predicted snowfall across the Carolinas, but I am seeing some decent differences in ratios as well. For example for my area (KGMU) the 12Z nam is showing ratios between 19:1 and 23:1 while the GFS is showing values between 12:1 and 18:1. Which model tends to do a better job address snow ratios? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCBud Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 17 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Now can we toss the NAM? It’s all over the damn place. Hell no it’s set up the sweet spot of the upstate right over me in Laurens county. Clearly the NAM has to be the most accurate currently 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 6” is the goal for us. That’s aggressive but this is a storm to do it Very doable for Raleigh. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 once again NorthWest SC getting the dry slot. urghIts one model relax most forecast has us 4-7 lets go with that and call it a day Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Fayetteville 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 55 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: It literally looks like Mother Nature is fed up with our complaining about the lack of snow these last four years and is putting her hand over our mouths. Like, "Take this and just be quiet!" LOL 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 2 minutes ago, UpstateSCBud said: Euro had a meso low developing over the upstate which is why the euro kept spitting out huge amounts for this area. Appears the 3k NAM picked up on it Correct. The latest GSP forecast discussion does a really good job talking about this potential meso low. That’s what will give us our good snow if it forms correctly. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCBud Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: Correct. The latest GSP forecast discussion does a really good job talking about this potential meso low. That’s what will give us our good snow if it forms correctly. We can only hope my upstate friend. The fact that the euro has it and now the high resolution models are picking up on it only favors us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 For reference: 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Before we get started on this event, I just want to express one more time how enjoyable this week has been. I wouldn’t want to piss away time on my phone with any other psychopaths! It was good to see so many names I haven’t seen in a while and we may not be done yet. The pattern says we get sleep no time soon. Buckle up baby! 20 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: For reference: I remember CHS airport closed for a week back in 2018. I could not believe there was no snow removal equipment within a reasonable driving distance. They just waited for it to melt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 29 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Spectrum they decided to put 0 effort in making that call map lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I remember CHS airport closed for a week back in 2018. I could not believe there was no snow removal equipment within a reasonable driving distance. They just waited for it to melt Very interesting. I hope that they have since purchased some snow removal equipment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Lol....wsw for ATL. Air is dry as a bone around here. That front end will be virga. 1 inch max for ATL proper. Flurries south of ATL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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