The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[jpbart]

30 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

Columbia SC here, this is a dark oblivion for snow.  It will snow in the mountains and the coast, not here.  Flurries would be remarkable, 2 inches would feel a miracle and if we hit on the max levels it would be a joyous disaster!  Milk and bread have been cleaned out already and the whole place is tense with anticipation.

[NorthHillsWx]

10 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

GSP AFD...they are indicating I-85 from GSP to Charlotte to be a potential jackpot zone with all of the western Carolinas and NE GA getting some stout totals.

 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

About the best AFD possible for that area. Wow. 

[UnionCountyNCWX]

Afternoon post from Brad. P for Charlotte area. 

[Aleksey]

So you think Elbert county (36 miles east of athens) will easily see 4 plus?

Athens will see 3-5” easily with Elberton and Elbert county looking like 4-6”. I’m looking at 2-5” in my neck of the woods, I’m 25 miles west of Athens. This is trending great for us and looking very likely!


.

[SEwakenosnowforu]

21 minutes ago, yotaman said:

New Bern here and this will be our 2nd snow in 2 years. They are generally few and far between. Been here since 96 and our biggest was 8 inches in 2010 I believe. Last year we had 5 inches. The most for this area was in 1989 at just under 12 inches. Wilmington had over a foot with that storm.

New Bern had 14 inches in 1989. Whatever moron at the airport who took that measurement of 8 inches was HIGH. I measured 14 inches in several parts of my yard. I lived over by Merchants in Brices Creek.

[StantonParkHoya]

New Bern here and this will be our 2nd snow in 2 years. They are generally few and far between. Been here since 96 and our biggest was 8 inches in 2010 I believe. Last year we had 5 inches. The most for this area was in 1989 at just under 12 inches. Wilmington had over a foot with that storm.

March 80 was the biggest


.

[WesternFringe]

3 hours ago, Berlin1926 said:

WTTW?  Is this from another planet? LOL

This includes the glacier already on the ground in Virginia 

[Regan]

RAH just made some subtle adjustments… hmm. From 8in to 9in and the high end boundaries expanded. The low end went from 3in to 5

[NorthHillsWx]

HRRR looks very similar to EURO

[sakau2007]

i am surprised the NWS thinks there is a 90% chance of at least 5" across that much of the state, and 4"+ east of I-95 basically to the coast.

[NorthHillsWx]

Wow RAH upped totals. Wonder what they see? Not complaining 

[Regan]

And again, they just updated this in the last 10ish mins so they are clearly telling us to hang on. They are watching. 

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Wow RAH upped totals. Wonder what they see? Not complaining 

Waiting on the updated AFD 

 

[Regan]

7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

HRRR looks very similar to EURO

Yeah that looks good

[PackGrad05]

The newest HRRR looks good.  Filling in nicely but only goes out to Saturday morning.

[NEGA_Dawg]

 

NWS statement that includes my area.

[Droessl]

As conservative as RAH normally is, them upping totals is pleasantly surprising. 

[CaryWx]

10 minutes ago, Regan said:

RAH just made some subtle adjustments… hmm. From 8in to 9in and the high end boundaries expanded. The low end went from 3in to 5

It would suck for them to have to back off these numbers.  I suspect they will not have to

[ADB83]

Count me as also confused at what Raleigh is looking at, but I did look, and it does look like recent information. They’re the professionals


.

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said:

The newest HRRR looks good.  Filling in nicely but only goes out to Saturday morning.

Yes, it was evolving much like Euro. Coastal was taking over at end. Dry slot over ILM but a much more expensive snow shield than other short range guidance 

[PDUBRDU]

3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Waiting on the updated AFD 

 

It looks like it was updated as of 205 pm today and mention snowtotals of 2-6".

 

[buckeyefan1]

Ya’ll, I absolutely love when GSP talks like this

There has also been a signal for a "dry slot" between snow
bands in the general vicinity of northeast Georgia, although where
this occurs is still uncertain - but even there warning criteria
snow should still be realized. The ceiling is high with this event
and a swath of 8-12"+ totals cannot be ruled out where the greatest
banding is able to set up shop.

[CLTWolf]

Yes, it was evolving much like Euro. Coastal was taking over at end. Dry slot over ILM but a much more expensive snow shield than other short range guidance 

ILM resident here. Based on the recent models posted in this thread it looks like we have a chance of 1-8 inches

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[eyewall]

Raleigh mets be like

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DT3qEvkDuQ4/?igsh=MWRydDh1bjJsb2psMQ==

 

 

[Regan]

Just now, eyewall said:

Raleigh mets be like

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DT3qEvkDuQ4/?igsh=MWRydDh1bjJsb2psMQ==

 

 

Accurate. On so many levels. Public mets need to just be frank. Plan for a few inches and a whole ton. 

[Ravens94]

Nam has lost the phantom energy off FL this run finally. Signs of early coastal development now.

[ADB83]

HRRR much less dry at 18z


.

[Upstate Tiger]

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Nam has lost the phantom energy off FL this run finally. 

Good.  I was terribly vexed by its existence and will not rue its demise.

[WinstonSalemArlington]