The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[Buddy1987]

6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GEFS with a small tick south but not much. Has similarities to 12z. 

Honestly if south and east gets blitzed with 1-2ft and I had a chance to sign up for 4-8” on a dotted line I’d do it right now. It’ll be beautiful powder with temps that cold around our areas. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[kvegas-wx]

Do we officially have Gianna yet?  When does she get her name and crown?  She's a winner!

[NorthHillsWx]

My thoughts- I think a large area of 4-8” is LIKELY. There will be swath of 8-12” and likely up to 16” max amounts wherever the deform band sets up shop. I think most of NC is looking at north of 3” and with ULL enhancement this is likely to be widespread. Max amounts will depend on coastal track 

[mailleon]

3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Do we officially have Gianna yet?  When does she get her name and crown?  She's a winner!

Hotter than the bottom of the space shuttle, she is.

[Blacksburg Coach]

10-1 ain't happening in NC, look at these soundings !!!

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

My thoughts- I think a large area of 4-8” is LIKELY. There will be swath of 8-12” and likely up to 16” max amounts wherever the deform band sets up shop. I think most of NC is looking at north of 3” and with ULL enhancement this is likely to be widespread. Max amounts will depend on coastal track 

Yeah that is very reasonable. 

[Blacksburg Coach]

Just now, Blacksburg Coach said:

10-1 ain't happening in NC, look at these soundings !!!

This is Greenville

[Blacksburg Coach]

IMBY

[AppalachianWedge]

You are truly insufferable


.

Not sure why you give this person so much crap. Their posts are no different than any other posts on here, including yours. You rode his ass during the last storm. There is a reason Buckeye has to chime in from time to time and tell people to read more and post less.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[Upstate Tiger]

GFS pretty much holds steady.  Another wild card is how anomalous this ULL will be.  It will overproduce IMO.  

[Buddy1987]

3 minutes ago, Blacksburg Coach said:

IMBY

What’s your call up our way?

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, Upstate Tiger said:

GFS pretty much holds steady.  Another wild card is how anomalous this ULL will be.  It will overproduce IMO.  

This is a great post! They usually always have some mega surprise. I talked about one that rolled thru here in 2012. 1-3 forecasted we got like 8. Probably the biggest flakes I’ve ever seen in my life. Like no joke shreds of paper. 

[CoolBreeze]

1 hour ago, RaleighNC said:

Prepping my grill to beat Dad's photo. 

Can you repost that pic for us, in his honor? Thanks!

[KyleEverett]

11 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Leave it to the NAM to add mixing issues.

[mstr4j]

GFS not great for Upstate through NE Ga...several runs in a row - def need Mrs. G to kick west

[NorthHillsWx]

2 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

GFS pretty much holds steady.  Another wild card is how anomalous this ULL will be.  It will overproduce IMO.  

Agreed. Think pretty much everyone in NC/SC west of 77 into the upstate will do ok to good even without coastal help. 

[franklin NCwx]

2 minutes ago, mstr4j said:

GFS not great for Upstate through NE Ga...several runs in a row - def need Mrs. G to kick west

Check the AIgfs

[mstr4j]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

Check the AIgfs

That's the precip map that makes me slobber!  Been praying the last several runs that it verifies 

[Rsheely88]

This is an old run. 0z today.


.

[Blacksburg Coach]

3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

What’s your call up our way?

Sharp cutoff, north of Fincastle gets a dusting.    

Roanoke- .2-.4 QPF     20-30 to 1 ratios 5-10"

Blacksburg- .2-.5 QPF 20-30 to 1 ratios 6-14"

 

Any shift west or increase in the precip field will add monster numbers out our way.

[landof2rivers]

1 hour ago, RaleighNC said:

Prepping my grill to beat Dad's photo. 

Could you please post the photo? It’s been a long time since I’ve seen it. It was epic.

[franklin NCwx]

3 minutes ago, mstr4j said:

That's the precip map that makes me slobber!  Been praying the last several runs that it verifies 

It digs the upper low down into Bama. Farther sw than the regular gfs

[neatlburbwthrguy]

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

It digs the upper low down into Bama. Farther sw than the regular gfs

Do you have map for this? 

[Rd9108]

How often do you guys get a storm of this magnitude down south?

[UnionCountyNCWX]

2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

How often do you guys get a storm of this magnitude down south?

That affects this much of the forum in such a signifigant way? 15-20 years

[BornAgain13]

2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

How often do you guys get a storm of this magnitude down south?

Very rarely. You see how we're acting? Lol

[lilj4425]

16 minutes ago, mstr4j said:

GFS not great for Upstate through NE Ga...several runs in a row - def need Mrs. G to kick west

Yeah, that down slopping sucks. We need this thing to shift more. 

[Rd9108]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Very rarely. You see how we're acting? Lol

I dont venture to many other subforums. Im rooting for you guys. We just had 12+ here so its somebody elses turn. 

[wncsnow]