The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[BooneWX]

Just now, WXNewton said:

GEFS is trending a little further north each run.

More or less, it’s just finally keying in on a closer to the coast track and a more expansive precip shield, which rakes the east coast. Not necessarily moving north - you can see the nice halt on the south end of the blue.

[Blacksburg Coach]

29 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

Maybe the ULL cranks and then energy transfers offshore.  Not saying it’s right but I suspect that’s what it’s showing.  
TW

if it transfers, more times than not the western half gets skipped over.

[USCG RS]

26 minutes ago, WiseWeather said:

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I imagine this is what it would look like if a nuclear weapon was detonated. 

[Snowncanes]

It’s quiet… euro running. AI out to 36 looks the same 

[Huriken]

It is midnight lol

[NC_hailstorm]

So what I'm reading this could be 17:1 ratios meaning

.50 = 8.5''

.60 = 10.2''

.70 = 11.9''

.80 =  13.6''

 

[MDsnowPRO]

[neatlburbwthrguy]

How’s the EURO look? 

[gamecockinupstateSC]

Moved more West thus far

[wncsnow]

Looking good 

[wncsnow]

[wncsnow]

[wncsnow]

Raleigh peeps won't like this run 

[Snowncanes]

precip shield looks weird on this run. Would imagine it fills in as we get to hour90. H5 looks decent, not as good as gfs but still trending well for us I think.

[wncsnow]

Overall, it's a solid run for most of us. Couple tweaks and it looks like the GFS. Goodnight folks. Hopefully 6Z doesnt pull the rug. 

[chris624wx]

Yeah, not a great run for us in SE VA either. Back to the ENC coastal scrape look

[neatlburbwthrguy]

Anyone have new euro snow map? 

[Snowncanes]

10:1 euro map

[gamecockinupstateSC]

Euro trend is moving Max West

[Supercane]

9 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Raleigh peeps won't like this run 

Meh, with how much the Euro jumped at 18z and with the north tick on the 00Z GEFS, I was beginning to think we might have to contend with the rain/snow line. The 00z Euro is underwhelming but importantly keeps all of NC in the game for snow.

[Coach McGuirk]

It is a potential coastal low this weekend.  It will be cold enough. I think we are looking at 6-12 inches. 

[btownheel]

Globals are gonna struggle with convective feedback I think. CAMS will help resolve a bit if that.


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