The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[USCG RS]

[BooneWX]

OHHHH CANADAAAA

[BornAgain13]

Cmc is a good hit for NC

[WXNewton]

The GFS is really expanding the precip shield to the NW and putting more and more moisture west each run. Here's the last 6 runs, not sure where it will stop.

[wncsnow]

AI GFS focusing more on western areas 

[Snowncanes]

Canadian. Hopefully this appeases the NW trend worriers 

[btownheel]

Just wow

My. God.


.

[wncsnow]

Canadian is solid. Not sure it has the recon data 

[kvegas-wx]

Van Denton is on the hype train.  Putting all options on the table and all include snow.

[Prismshine Productions]

Canadian. Hopefully this appeases the NW trend worriers 

Nah, that was contaminated by having the initial low way out to sea... Something tells me the CMC ENS would be bigger

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[BooneWX]

13 minutes ago, TYFNGUY said:

MidAtlantic is popping champagne like this will be a NOVA special by 12z. That's going to keep me from sleeping well. 

Greed is an ugly thing 

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Canadian is solid. Not sure it has the recon data 

Canadian looked SUPER funky. Almost like convective feedback issues or some weird crap. It like merged the two storms together in the Atlantic and created like a damn typhoon lol.

[WXNewton]

00z AI GFS trending west each run...Here's the last 6 runs.

[BornAgain13]

CMC apparently had feedback issues. 

[NC_hailstorm]

Canadian is neutral tilt at 90,and also a tick west of 12z. 

[StantonParkHoya]

AI GFS focusing more on western areas 

That doesn’t really make any sense


.

[tarheelwx]

If history repeats itself as it has over and over again, precip in the triad will quickly wind down once the low moves north of hatteras.  Book it.  
 

TW

[BooneWX]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

That doesn’t really make any sense


.

Double precip maxima. Western areas are getting smoked under the upper level low and lee side enhancement. 

[tarheelwx]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

That doesn’t really make any sense


.

Maybe the ULL cranks and then energy transfers offshore.  Not saying it’s right but I suspect that’s what it’s showing.  
TW

[BornAgain13]

UK continues to look splatchy and stays positive tilted

[lilj4425]

4 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Double precip maxima. Western areas are getting smoked under the upper level low and lee side enhancement. 

Why doesn’t the regular GFS show this? Does the AI model just do a better job of picking it up? 

[wncsnow]

UK is still paltry but better than 12Z

[WiseWeather]

My. God.


.

.

[WXNewton]

11 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

That doesn’t really make any sense


.

2003 Jan storm kind of did this, had a precip maxima Foothills, NW Piedmont and then another precip maxima right along the coast.  

[NC_hailstorm]

UK still positive tilt,neutral around 99-102 but better than 12z.Still playing catch up.

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, NC_hailstorm said:

UK still positive tilt,neutral around 99-102 but better than 12z.Still playing catchip.

The UKMET does not even look anything like the other models (minus the ICON) over GA/SC.  That alone makes me want to toss it.  I do think that the GFS/Euro/RGEM may be tossing way too much snow back too far west in GA/SC but the overall agreement there tells me ignore the UKMET further down the line

[BornAgain13]

0z GEFS 

[neatlburbwthrguy]

5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The UKMET does not even look anything like the other models (minus the ICON) over GA/SC.  That alone makes me want to toss it.  I do think that the GFS/Euro/RGEM may be tossing way too much snow back too far west in GA/SC but the overall agreement there tells me ignore the UKMET further down the line

My hopes for snow in ATL just got carushedddd before bed

[WXNewton]

GEFS is trending a little further north each run.

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

My hopes for snow in ATL just got carushedddd before bed

I would be surprised if ATL saw accumulating snow with this.  The whole ridge/trof orientation to me does not favor it, you'd need this to drop south back across AL/WRN GA and bomb or begin the intensification process at 500 over SE GA or FL panhandle vs over SC or off the SC coast.