February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snow

I think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm

We have had like 1 decently precipitous event in like 2 months so ya. 

[MickeyTim6533]

5 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Gotta wait for the Doctor, he will decide it

[ravensrule]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

This is going to be a wiff most likely. No rain no snow

I think at this point it’s either snow or no. We are likely not getting a rain storm

Shut the F up Chuck is never wrong. 

[TSSN+]

Coming this spring. Dust bowl 2026

 

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Gotta wait for the Doctor, he will decide it

If the Doctor's AI doesn't show a hit, he'll probably be south too, lol

[SnowenOutThere]

While we all wait for the Euro I made a fun thread that reminds us why we actually do this hobby! Please add your own contrabutions!

 

[Paleocene]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

We have had like 1 decently precipitous event in like 2 months so ya. 

I got like an inch of rain that one day after new years.  then 1.5" of snow and pellet precip. but yeah other than that dry as a bone

[IronTy]

The drought rolls on, persistence prevails.   

[TSSN+]

13 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

I got like an inch of rain that one day after new years.  then 1.5" of snow and pellet precip. but yeah other than that dry as a bone

We average somewhere around 5” qpf between December and Jan and probably sitting about at half of that and into February. 

[bncho]

1 hour ago, 87storms said:

So basically…canceling winter on Feb 10 when lakes are frozen, is dumb.

Two weeks from now we're back in business IMO (assuming VD doesn't work out).

[mitchnick]

By 4/1, we will be tired of precip. Droughts always end in floods or near flooding. Jmho

[bncho]

Euro is a runnin

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

Euro is a runnin

AI Euro running away with the precip altogether...allllll the way south. I mean dang, lol Never thought this would morph into a total whiff altogether!

[Chris78]

12z euro AI  is even more suppressed lol.

[stormtracker]

Euro goes south too...clips south east VA.   Would have been cold enough up here too.  Terrible.

[MickeyTim6533]

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

Gotta wait for the Doctor, he will decide it

Terminal

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro goes south too...clips south east VA.   Would have been cold enough up here too.  Terrible.

Tough to bet against a locked in AIFS. Oh well. We'll try again next winter.

[Ji]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro goes south too...clips south east VA.   Would have been cold enough up here too.  Terrible.

it was close enough not to give up on 

[winter_warlock]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours.

Cmc is by itself lol  all other models whiff

[Ji]

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro goes south too...clips south east VA.   Would have been cold enough up here too.  Terrible.

come on bro--this is too close to give up on

[Maestrobjwa]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

it was close enough not to give up on 

I don't know...Euro AI is locked in and in fact went even more south. Unless that changes this one is probably done.

[Twilly05]

1 hour ago, Paleocene said:

Lol one piece of the low on the GFS ends up stuck in Tampa

Haven’t we all been stuck in Tampa? I mean at least once…

[soadforecasterx]

I want a snowstorm just like the rest of us, but every model has been trending towards Euro Ai which has been locked in our a miss to the south. 

[MickeyTim6533]

well you can tell DR No decided it, this place is a morgue lol

[Scraff]

Sounds like the reaper might need to step in to this thread shortly. The good news for most of us though is that I heard he makes way less than 150K. So that said, we should be safe in here. However, if you run to the panic room, you’re probably fucked. 

[IUsedToHateCold]

 

4 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Sounds like the reaper might need to step in to this thread shortly. The good news for most of us though is that I heard he makes way less than 150K. So that said, we should be safe in here. However, if you run to the panic room, you’re probably fucked. 

I don't fear the reaper. Bring him in so I can show him a calendar. 

It may only be a little, but I'd bet it snows here again before the season is out. 

 

[WEATHER53]

3 hours ago, Ji said:

suppressed lol. Look where the model was at 00z

This is why it’s not science. It’s example giving guesswork with so many outcomes that one  will surely hit and funding for status quo can continue.  Now the chest puffers who never otherwise pist here will be whistled in soon but models are not weather forecasting tools.  They mostly exist to perpetuate themselves.  It’s fine that many many more than me enjoy that  modality  just as it’s fine that I think it’s bogus .  And I’ve offered solid alternatives in the past, not just observation .

[Ji]

the ensembles are still north of the OP. Should be interesting. models will have a hard time with the timing of the ejecting low vs the northern stream. Keep hope alive. Where is cape?

[Maestrobjwa]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

the ensembles are still north of the OP. Should be interesting. models will have a hard time with the timing of the ejecting low vs the northern stream. Keep hope alive. Where is cape?

AIFS remain south, though...at this point we gotta trust them more than then the EPS.