Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs

[LovingGulfLows]

2 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

I’m in north metro & seen zero sleet it’s all rain / freezing rain 

 

I mean farther north like Alpharetta/Cumming and east of there.

[NorthHillsWx]

Freezing drizzle has finally taken over as predominant precip here. I don’t trust my temp gauge as it is glazed over but it’s reading 22.3

[letitsnow]

Moderate sleet and freezing rain currently with the "last batch" coming through, sitting at 30 degrees.  Here, as in most parts of NE Metro  and further N in GA, we did have light freezing rain accruals earlier, you can almost see the ice growth on the trees and other objects, still hoping for the best at this point.

This has been a strange and crazy storm, none of the models got it right, they each had their little parts but in the grand scheme of things it just shows the weather will do whatever it wants, and never underestimate the CAD.

Safety for all and a huge thank you to all first responders and utility workers!

[JSB99]

9 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

I’m in north metro & seen zero sleet it’s all rain / freezing rain 

Same here. Ice is building up quickly on some pines

[NorthHillsWx]

12 minutes ago, ADB83 said:

HRRR has given up and says “I don’t know” for the final line of moisturec

Save this for the archives 

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, JSB99 said:

Same here. Ice is building up quickly on some pines

Worried about yall. Pulling for minimal outages your way

[EarlGrey]

A lot of people didn’t get what was forecasted however we just remember the 3+ years where we didn’t get anything! All I’m saying is it’s nice to have something!

[olafminesaw]

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Save this for the archives 

Check out the moisture transport that will be concentrated in that band, off the charts!

[64Storm]

Currently 33 and a very cold rain in north Atlanta 'burbs. Associated WAA is finally starting to erode the wedge eastward.

[Fuji Kapesta]

Rain in Lawrenceville 28

[audioguy3107]

Incredible how different it is in the Atlanta metro, even by tens of miles.  I’m about 10-15 minutes south of Gainesville near Buford and it’s been pouring sleet for the last 15 minutes.  Zero rain.  

[Grayman]

1 minute ago, audioguy3107 said:

Incredible how different it is in the Atlanta metro, even by tens of miles.  I’m about 10-15 minutes south of Gainesville near Buford and it’s been pouring sleet for the last 15 minutes.  Zero rain.  

Wow. What’s your temperature?

[kvegas-wx]

Is sleet a 3:1 ratio in most instances?  Whatever we had last night was definitely not sleet.  I want to start a new board for this evening.

[sakau2007]

i really don't understand everyone is calling this a bust and a missed forecast. are you guys crazy?

the models did an incredible job in mississippi, tennessee, and alabama nailing temp profiles and they seem to be doing the same in georgia... with near perfect placement and strength of the wedge. atlanta has been on the border of an ice storm for 4+ days and that's exactly how it is playing out.

about the only thing is some of the models overdid the Frz Rn and underdid the sleet... at least on the first batch of precip that came through most of the mid south as sleet. However, the second big batch *has* been a lot of freezing rain, as forecasted.

lol at people in NC throwing in the towel and calling it a bust before 75% of the precip arrives.

[sakau2007]

1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

Is sleet a 3:1 ratio in most instances?  Whatever we had last night was definitely not sleet.  I want to start a new board for this evening.

yeah, it varies, but 3:1 is a decent average.

[Snow dog]

5 minutes ago, audioguy3107 said:

Incredible how different it is in the Atlanta metro, even by tens of miles.  I’m about 10-15 minutes south of Gainesville near Buford and it’s been pouring sleet for the last 15 minutes.  Zero rain.  

That’s encouraging for us upstate folks! 

[NEGa]

The precip just arrived. Currently it’s freezing rain and 27.  From the sleet reports west of here in the heavier bands I would guess it would be sleet here. I can’t see .5” days ice here at this point

[audioguy3107]

2 minutes ago, Grayman said:

Wow. What’s your temperature?

Not sure literally in my yard but FFC has Lawrenceville at 29 and Gainesville at 27.  I’m exactly between them.  

[hrtsdsn]

Currently 18 degrees in my town east of Charlotte    I assume whatever arrives later this afternoon will freeze instantly    Hourly forecast says  I don't get above 23 degrees today    Should be interesting!!

[tarheelwx]

I think some of us old timers here in NC saw the writing on the wall last night - light precip. Dry slot, final “band” likely to underperform.  I think it’s a bust for those that didn’t factor in the dry slot and lower qpf.  The cold air and CAD was simply a matter of sleet vs ZR and we all know how that often shakes out with anonymously cold air.  Hat off to the NAM on the dry slot.  As for the cold and ptypes, seasoned Mets should have know.  
TW

[Tony Sisk]

30 minutes ago, gman said:

FWIW. I was just looking at the future radar. It looks like the line of precipitation will hit here starting about 3:30. It also looks like the heavy rain is breaking up when it arrives. Could those storms in southern Georgia take some of the energy and moisture away from NE Georgia and Upstate SC?

I’m thinking it will be mostly sleet…at least hoping so. If it is a heavy line of freezing rain, it could be difficult to build up on the trees and lines. But just guesses

[blueheels2]

3 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

I think some of us old timers here in NC saw the writing on the wall last night - light precip. Dry slot, final “band” likely to underperform.  I think it’s a bust for those that didn’t factor in the dry slot and lower qpf.  The cold air and CAD was simply a matter of sleet vs ZR and we all know how that often shakes out with anonymously cold air.  Hat off to the NAM on the dry slot.  As for the cold and ptypes, seasoned Mets should have know.  
TW

Banter I know but one day I want to love where there is no threat of a dry slot. 

[Jimbo!]

Check out the moisture transport that will be concentrated in that band, off the charts!

I’m too tired to look backward, but that seems awful intense round southside va. How does that stack up to Michael inn2018?


.

[NorthHillsWx]

2 minutes ago, blueheels2 said:

Banter I know but one day I want to love where there is no threat of a dry slot. 

Where is this place you speak of

[Snow dog]

6 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

I’m thinking it will be mostly sleet…at least hoping so. If it is a heavy line of freezing rain, it could be difficult to build up on the trees and lines. But just guesses

That’s what I would think too, however CJ not mentioning that at all.  

[lilj4425]

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Where is this place you speak of

Buffalo, NY.  

[eyewall]

5 inches of snow and now at least 2 inches of sleet so far here in Sterling, VA. It is a true sleet bomb and still going. 

[blueheels2]

8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Where is this place you speak of

Rolesville NC

[Brick Tamland]

Greg Fishel's latest thoughts for the Triangle.

At this point, it's hard to imagine a way that we will have a crippling ice storm. The big surprise with this event is the lack of precipitation, especially in light of what even the ensembles were showing just a couple of days ago. There will be one more burst late this afternoon and this evening, and there will likely be some ice buildup on trees and power lines. But will it be enough to make the lights go out everywhere? I don't think so. Obviously I will watch this very carefully until the last drop falls late this evening, but for now, the worst case scenario appears to have passed us by. Stay tuned!

[suzook]

Just got a quick half in of rain the last hour. Temp 40. Still raining. Should be done by 4 here. Windy too, so the roads should dry before we drop below freezing.