ILSNOW Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago hopefully no Winter Weather Advisories will be issued NWS has had a tough run in here. and toss the 18z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Which reason on the list is it to toss the GFS? #6 or I can't remember which one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: Which reason on the list is it to toss the GFS? #6 or I can't remember which one. 7. Off run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Reason 7…definitely. But I dunno, I might be out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS either going to score a big one this being way more south or it's out to lunch per usual. Pretty narrow heavy snow axis on this run. Will obviously come down to phasing and that arctic high placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago What's going to be really funny is if the data from the RECON just makes a bigger mess of things with the model outputs, at least initiially... Nothing would surprise me any more... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 21 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: Which reason on the list is it to toss the GFS? #6 or I can't remember which one. 2. That model has been terrible this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z Euro backed down from 12z toss it!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Probably more realistic euro run unfortunately. I think euro was best case north scenario and gfs was worse case south scenario so it's correcting some. An in between solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 18z Euro backed down from 12z toss it!!!! End result on the EPS looks similar, so wouldn't look too much into that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Probably more realistic euro run unfortunately. I think euro was best case north scenario and gfs was worse case south scenario so it's correcting some. An in between solution. Agree with this that 18z euro is probably the best we’ll get in the sub forum given the set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Keep reeling it north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Confused. Was the 18Z Euro an improvement or a step back for those with the magnets on the north fringe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago It's still pretty similar tbh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, Baum said: Confused. Was the 18Z Euro an improvement or a step back for those with the magnets on the north fringe? Temps are warming further north cutting back on snow totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Recon is in flight out off of Baja. Not sure if it’s specifically for this storm, but more data injected into tonight’s runs won’t hurt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: It's still pretty similar tbh Would expect qpf numbers to dry up a bit and models usually are overdone at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, Baum said: Confused. Was the 18Z Euro an improvement or a step back for those with the magnets on the north fringe? Would think it's a step back. Especially compared to 0Z ECMF run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z X 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthOaklandCtyWX Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago 1 hour ago, Radtechwxman said: Probably more realistic euro run unfortunately. I think euro was best case north scenario and gfs was worse case south scenario so it's correcting some. An in between solution. CMC is best case scenario north IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago Unfortunately for us up this way cold dry ne flow around arctic really going to eat into qpf and make it difficult for snow shield to advance north. Cutoff will be very sharp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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