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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26


TriPol
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2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 11 am, still snowing heavily and up to 6.0" of snow otg, for a rate of 1.6"/hr the last 30 minutes - wow!  13F and just pouring snow.  Sleet line looks to be in Wilmington - latest HRRR has us in snow until about 3 pm and if that verifies, we'd get another 6" or so before the sleet.  We'll see, but certainly seems like 9-10" is a lock before the change and then maybe 1-2" sleet (but likely mixed with some snow, so maybe higher ratios than 3:1 for pure sleet).  

thanks for the report. roads were empty this morning. i haven't been back out

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6 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Looks like south shore of Long Island is getting into some of that ocean enhanced snow as well

I’m in Brightwaters and visibility has to be well under a 1/4 of a mile right now. 
15 degrees, quickly approaching 6” OTG

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Dry slot in southern Jersey filling in some. Over 7" here and snowing nicely (though somewhat lighter than before and it looks like we're in a bit of a subsidence zone but should get out of it pretty soon). 

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48 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

That would be huge. More importantly does it move more northeast or NNE that was modeled. Another factor.

Need the new low to deepen more than the primary (soon) and for the primary to open up.  Still lots of S-SW flow in the mid levels.  That and stray a little east of the forecast like you said.  

So far, the modeling is too slow and a little too west with the secondary, but stranger things have happened.

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Just now, jm1220 said:

HRRR again showing sleet coming into the area but then being fought/pushed back for a while. This idea will either be the hero of the day or fall flat on its face. 

RAP which brings the sleet line into nyc Long Island quicker is still another 5-7 inches 

16z hrr rolling and it’s still showing snow along the south shore at 23z

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