winter_warlock Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s over Ooh ok ty bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Trough on Eps is much better than 12z and better ridging ahead on the coast. Will be better than 22z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, grhqofb5 said: Is there any data available about potential wind speeds? You’re looking for the Blizzard warning. I see what you did there. Wish we still had the heavy snow warning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, mitchnick said: Trough on Eps is much better than 12z and better ridging ahead on the coast. Will be better than 22z. 22z? Extended HH! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Eps. 12z bottom. 22 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 As much as we all want Blizzard warnings the wind speeds just aren't there. Will sadly need to take a winter storm warning for 16-20 inches instead. 5 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: As much as we all want Blizzard warnings the wind speeds just aren't there. Will sadly need to take a winter storm warning for 16-20 inches instead. WSW goes 5 inches to infinity. We need another tier to get excited about. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: As much as we all want Blizzard warnings the wind speeds just aren't there. Will sadly need to take a winter storm warning for 16-20 inches instead. Better for ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 For those wondering, there isn't the wind component to verify blizzard warnings. Strong winds aloft come with their own risk, namely crystal destruction that could knock totals down. Just give me cold powder that stacks up. 20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: WSW goes 5 inches to infinity. We need another tier to get excited about. Winter Storm Emergency sounds cool. would have to be totals of 12" plus tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 All I will say for the 18z suite is that the GFS is a hilarious model that should probably not be trusted outside of 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 this is all you need to see. trend has been ongoing for two days now 23 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Can somebody post that link for the lwx page with the winter storm confidence, impact matrix? Don't feel like going back looking for it. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Winter Storm Emergency sounds cool. would have to be totals of 12" plus tho That’s not bad at all. We need the drunk hotel sex level of warning. Rarely seen but always a treat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 31 minutes ago, bncho said: Euro is a FOLKS! Thank you to all who joined us for Happy Hour. See you at 0z! Holy bitchin nachos!! Boom went the queso!! 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 That northern stream wave/lobe of the PV continues to get stronger with each passing Euro run. Not sure if that continues, but it absolutely raises the ceiling on this if it phases. I should probably add that it also may induce more mixing concerns for areas further south, as it would lead to SE ridge amplification and WAA aloft. 22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Can somebody post that link for the lwx page with the winter storm confidence, impact matrix? Don't feel like going back looking for it. Thankshttps://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 With it being a cold very dry snow. Even though we won't reach blizzard criteria. It could be quite breezy ..I'm sure we will see some blowing and drifting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rollenwiese Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Can somebody post that link for the lwx page with the winter storm confidence, impact matrix? Don't feel like going back looking for it. Thanks think it's this one: https://www.weather.gov/lwx/experimentalwinterstormthreat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Can somebody post that link for the lwx page with the winter storm confidence, impact matrix? Don't feel like going back looking for it. Thanks The whole page: https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Chasing my crazy kids around to get ready for bed and I come back to see we got nuked. My God. If this keeps trending, where are we going to be come Saturday?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Hmmm I wonder if it will go to purple (high impact) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Chasing my crazy kids around to get ready for bed and I come back to see we got nuked. My God. If this keeps trending, where are we going to be come Saturday?? We're going to be Jebwalking in the snow that night. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 If the dynamics get super charged by that northern stream wave, it increases the chances of a 2'+ jackpot for someone, if you want it in real weenie speak. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, andyhb said: That northern stream wave/lobe of the PV continues to get stronger with each passing Euro run. Not sure if that continues, but it absolutely raises the ceiling on this if it phases. I should probably add that it also may induce more mixing concerns for areas further south, as it would lead to SE ridge amplification and WAA aloft. Could be too much of a good thing and then most/all of us mix. I kind of hope it's about at its ceiling now or we're gonna have people cliff diving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Hmmm I wonder if it will go to purple (extreme) If models hold, it will 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Eps. 12z bottom. First time for the storm seeing a foot show up on the mean. Northern extent went north too which is nice to see a large swath of 6”+ - not sweating a 50 mile swath of a narrow band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, Disc said: Could be too much of a good thing and then most/all of us mix. I kind of hope it's about at its ceiling now or we're gonna have people cliff diving. I do think there's a logical limit to how far north the mixing is based on how strong the Arctic high is initially. Someone is going to get absolutely hammered with ice though if the SE ridge amplifies significantly. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 44 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Second Synoptic Breakdown 1/24-1/26 Nice effort - still too much weenie bias and you’ve turned “the ingredients are on the counter” into “dinner is served” about three days before the oven even preheats. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Anybody on the inside have access to Cantore's flight plans? May he stay far away.. well wait.. all those thunder snow live shots tho. Conflicted. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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