January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, stormtracker said:

lol, GGEM might be too ampd if anything

It was solidly too amped for my liking at 12z so it makes sense it stays on the northern edge of guidance. 

[MDScienceTeacher]

1 hour ago, Heisy said:

EPS had more interaction between the N/S wave and the STJ low, also moved the TPV farther NE. , and had better tilt to the trough. I wouldn’t rule out a PD2 type progression. Especially if we see more phasing happen between that N/S wave (which is important for us northerners).

Everything is really still on the table at this range. Just small timing differences between these 3 main features changes everything.


.

Pd2 started as a 8-12 event and then as radar started showing moisture training north from off the coast of sc sterling up the totals.. first 12-18 then 18-24 and a lot people around here blew right by the 2 fr mark.

 

it was crazy to see yellow returns training north and it was all snow. Just an epic beat down

[DDweatherman]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

lol this does not require an explanation

I see a F word worthy frame coming very shortly.

[Demeter]

Do we still do radio shows here?  It might have to be the first one in a minute. 

[Nomz]

Is the GDPS the same thing as the GEM?

[mattie g]

All that energy over the Plains on the CMC is wild. It’s going to lay down another crushing on someone coming up…

[TSSN+]

Next frame will be a nuke 

 

[bncho]

AI GFS is like 6-12"

[clskinsfan]

Perfect confluence for the Mid Atlantic on the CMC. Massive pummeling incoming. 

[caviman2201]

[TSSN+]

Just now, bncho said:

AI GFS is like 6-12"

That’s 18z bud 

[LP08]

What an image.  

[bncho]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

That’s 18z bud 

shit, wrong map again

[clskinsfan]

OMG!!!!!!

[bncho]

WOW

[stormtracker]

FOLKS, the GGEM

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, LP08 said:

What an image.  

Looks like it wants to cut but just cannot with those highs. Wow

[SnowenOutThere]

CMC has an extremely heavy thump of snow before mixing to sleet along DC in an axis SW to NE as if climbs the coast  

[jayyy]

FOLKS

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Next frame will be a nuke 

 

 

[EHoffman]

15 degrees and heavy snow/sleet at hour 132 in DC.  Crazy

[clskinsfan]

DC riding the taint line on the CMC. But good lord what a beatdown. 

[stormtracker]

Looks like about 17 in DC

[caviman2201]

LOL BWI with a nice lil 18kft DGZ

[MillvilleWx]

4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lol this does not require an explanation

That is straight from the Dynamics textbooks 

[LeesburgWx]

Pummeled!! CMC looking like 12z Ukie now 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

 

My doors just got blown off 

[mitchnick]

[stormtracker]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

DC riding the taint line on the CMC. But good lord what a beatdown. 

yeah yea, but we all know it's not gonna be that amp'd, so I'm cool with this

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, MillvilleWx said:

That is straight from the Dynamics textbooks 

Starting to think it’s finally time I read the Northeast Snowstorms book this week.