First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us

[George001]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Really?  I don’t remember it doing that on modeling?  But ok. 

Yeah it did, I was kinda pissed when that one skunked my area, but that didn’t last. The next storm alone more than made up for the entire first half of winter, then we all know what happened. That truly was a once in a lifetime winter. Anyways, how are you feeling about this one? I like where we are at with this. There is a decent amount of support for a moderate event right now on guidance, with some upside if things break right. 

[kdxken]

 

[kdxken]

Raining .

 

[TheSnowman]

49 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I remember the mid January gtg at Funky’s and BOS was under 10” for the season.  I think we were watching the AFC playoff game between the Ravens and I can’t remember who but Joe Flacco hit an end of the game Hail Mary.  Jay who was then sboswx whispered “I think he does it” and Lo and behold he did!  Before pickles and I left (we traveled together) I asked Will “how much for the season at BOS?  Will throws out 53” and pickles and I are thinking man that’s bold.  Final total 110.  

And I said standing there, "I Don't Know HOW, but I GUARANTEE that Peyton Manning will CHOKE!"  And He DID!!  

[WinterWolf]

46 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yeah it did, I was kinda pissed when that one skunked my area, but that didn’t last. The next storm alone more than made up for the entire first half of winter, then we all know what happened. That truly was a once in a lifetime winter. Anyways, how are you feeling about this one? I like where we are at with this. There is a decent amount of support for a moderate event right now on guidance, with some upside if things break right. 

I think you’re in a much better spot than I am over this way right now.  If we can bring this west another few ticks, then I feel it could be decent here.  But that’s a big if at the moment, so I guess we’ll see.  But I’m not as snow starved as some…we did nicely here 3 weeks ago, on 12/26..8” from that one.  But we need a decent storm soon to keep up. Here’s to hoping Brotha. 

[brooklynwx99]

CMC should come in hot, RGEM is amped

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

CMC should come in hot, RGEM is amped

 

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

your ICON is west, but weak af

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

your ICON is west, but weak af

All I care is to see it west...I don't expect it to be consistently skillful with respect to cyclogenesis.

[dryslot]

The models that matter coming up.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

All I care is to see it west...I don't expect it to be  consistently skillful with respect to cyclogenesis.

yeah i mean with how bad that thing is, all i look for is an indication of trends, but even that can be questionable with something like the Icon. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

yeah i mean with how bad that thing is, all i look for is an indication of trends, but even that can be questionable with something like the Icon. 

Although it was rock solid with the current non-event.  For quite a few runs we laughed at it when it placed the low over BGM.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Although it was rock solid with the current non-event.  For quite a few runs we laughed at it when it placed the low over BGM.

I didn't notice bc I never expected anything out of that event...never viewed a model lol

Took one look at the ridge out west and checked out.

[MJO812]

AI GFS and GFS are coming in more amped. This should be west of 18z.

[brooklynwx99]

AI is a legit hit

[40/70 Benchmark]

Through hr 81 00z looks. bit like 12z...

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Yep big storm incoming 

Probably not quite that level, but better than 18z.

[wxsniss]

Definite improvement over 18z, thru 90h more similar to 12z with shortwave digging over Georgia

[brooklynwx99]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Probably not quite that level, but better than 18z.

yeah, in between. nice to see with the AI looking good and the CMC likely coming in amped

[40/70 Benchmark]

Little more vorticity lagging behind than 12z...

[40/70 Benchmark]

My guess is a median solution right between 12z and 18z. Not as cohesive as 12z.

[dryslot]

Not as far west as 12z , But better then 18z

[Typhoon Tip]

00z GFS vitals are between the 18 and 12

[weathafella]

Brett’s gonna look funny in that picture!

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

00z GFS vitals are between the 18 and 12

I think all of will take that at this point. No complaints.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Brett’s gonna look funny in that picture!

He’ll have frostbite as well. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

Brett’s gonna look funny in that picture!

I knew he would lose that as soon as he said it.

[The 4 Seasons]

It's coming.

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

It's coming.

Question is, will the Euro come west?

[WeatherGeek2025]

the west trend is not done i feel it other models will be stubborn but gfs will keep locking gains towards west! big snows coming in my opinion reminds me of nemo instead of east it's the west trend