ravensrule Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Hyphnx said: Hi Hi friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I think the GFS was a fluke! Just playing with our emotions... sucks.. Euro will have to prove me wrong.. all other models are saying it was. My thinking is that each run has to have some improvements, even minor. We have some of it from some. Euro has to show it too.. and we have nothing! 1 minute ago, jlewis1111 said: euro did shit with the last storm til 0z tonight. 0z runs tonight was when things drastically changed last week for this past weekend's storm. Tonight 0z will be key anything now Is just noise imo This one is happening sooner. So I believe your timeline is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, ravensrule said: Hi friend. I'm hoping we all reel this one in. Kids are out of school tomorrow and my wife is a night nurse and has to drive to work. She said the drive home this morning was really brutal. Worse it has been. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 A lil separation of that s/w energy where the block is, but that's about it and pretty minute 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, midatlanticweather said: I think the GFS was a fluke! Just playing with our emotions... sucks.. Euro will have to prove me wrong.. all other models are saying it was. My thinking is that each run has to have some improvements, even minor. We have some of it from some. Euro has to show it too.. and we have nothing! This one is happening sooner. So I believe your timeline is off. How is it sooner? last weeks storm on tue was showing fri into sat start time... It didnt get pushed out til thur models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 ok...our surface low is about to get going in the gulf. I see a slight difference..flow is backed just a smidge bit vs 6z, but nothing to get excited about sadly. Altho the closed low on the surface maps is a bit wester 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: ok...our surface low is about to get going in the gulf. I see a slight difference..flow is backed just a smidge bit vs 6z, but nothing to get excited about sadly. Altho the closed low on the surface maps is a bit wester Congrats Charleston SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Not looking good yall. Sorry 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Closer That northern cutoff would be enough to cause a lot of strokes. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Its a jump west, not enough to hit us but it could be a reversal of its ongoing east trend. Maybe just meeting in the middle? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Yup..she's out. Toss the fucking GFS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Terpeast said: Its a jump west, not enough to hit us but it could be a reversal of its ongoing east trend. Maybe just meeting in the middle? The Euro doesn’t typically make big jumps in one run. A pausing of the east trend is at least enough to keep us in the tracking game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Well out to sea. Hits no one substantially 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: We should honestly stop looking at the gfs. I don’t think it’s got anything right this winter literally. Yet when it slams us at 18z happy hour, we’ll all still dance in the streets and celebrate. Though, on my street, I’ll be ice dancing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup..she's out. Toss the fucking GFS It's actually better than 6z by a not insignificant amount. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 right where we want it 4 days out lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, bncho said: It's actually better than 6z by a not insignificant amount. I guess you can put it that way. For the fish. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I am at Food Lion just in case the Euro was a hit. Guess it’s time to go home. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, stormtracker said: Well out to sea. Hits no one substantially It’s the Euro. We toss and wait for the better models to run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, stormtracker said: I guess you can put it that way. For the fish. We only need 15 more of those trends and then we'll be looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 It's deflating, but imma hang in there till 0z, including 18z later when the GFS hilariously does a full cave in 6 hours. Our model really does suck ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I don't know about you guys but I'm tossing everything but the GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 you nova people are dramatic as F lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 In recent memory, it feels like the Euro is most fallible past hour 120+, and the GFS is most fallible within that range. Makes perfect sense then that the Euro showed a favorable solution at that range only to trade places with the GFS as we got closer. Anyways.. Euro AI shows a small event on the 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, bncho said: We only need 15 more of those trends and then we'll be looking good. The good news is we have more than 15 Euro runs until the storm starts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well out to sea. Hits no one substantially maybe its the start of its west trend. Its never one snapshot...its always the trend. And did you know the GFS handles the northern stream better in La Nina winter storms than the ECMWF? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 It was a modest hop better. Problem is it was the first square on a long hopscotch track. And we only have one leg and are clinically diagnosed with vertigo. 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 14 minutes ago, Nomz said: Thankfully Apple Weather backed off the 7-8 “forecast” they had earlier Only 7-8? I figured a '1' would be in front of those two numbers minimum. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's deflating, but imma hang in there till 0z, including 18z later when the GFS hilariously does a full cave in 6 hours. Our model really does suck ass. maybe your boy trump can invest some money into it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, jlewis1111 said: you nova people are dramatic as F lol To be fair, you really need to say DMV. Believe me, I'm from there and it's not just NOVA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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