NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: How does this compare to 12z? Could argue it’s just wetter/norther. All related ig this trend also can’t hurt: 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 18z GFS vs 18z euro AI. Really close honestly Gfs probably begins negatively tilting slightly earlier 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, stormtracker said: Is it better? It looks a lot better! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 It’s definitely a move towards the gfs this run, not going to be “all that close” to what the gfs showed….BUT remember it’s minutia differences that make big implications downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Get the crown ready for the GFS 3 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Yeah, it is better. I think we're still in the game? Or at least a morale booster. We live to fight another day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 all noise til tonights 0z runs following same pattern as last week this time for this past weekend storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, Heisy said: 18z GFS vs 18z euro AI. Really close honestly Gfs probably begins negatively tilting slightly earlier Yep. Was just gonna post this. AI went negative a few hours later than we want. It is getting closer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So far, an ass hair wester with what should be our formative close low at 48. Money shots start at 72 How many ass hairs does it take to make a HECS?? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 As long as the bleeding has stopped that gives us 100* hours to keep ticking better. At some point you reach an inflection point and it gets a lot better with smaller changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopathic Snow Bro Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, overcautionisbad said: Get the crown ready for the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Get the crown ready for the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 We’re not out of this yet. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: How many ass hairs does it take to make a HECS?? Sasquatch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just compared the H5 and it is markedly so much better. 17 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I'll have to see the euros h5 vort panels to compare but right now the differences between the euro and gfs are pretty small. Gfs is just a little quicker to close off and go negative. Like what I said recently with the euro trough pointing at 1 o'clock and the gfs at high noon. If the euro moves that direction at 0z it gets real interesting 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 What was the Canadian model run like? I feel like that did best at this point last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: How many ass hairs does it take to make a HECS?? Yeah. I’m pretty sure I haven’t seen that info in the weenie handbook. Maybe it’s in a later chapter? I don’t know. I hate reading books. Anything after the cover of the book— I just put it down and go eat a plate of bitchin nachos instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I'll have to see the euros h5 vort panels to compare but right now the differences between the euro and gfs are pretty small. Gfs is just a little quicker to close off and go negative. Like what I said recently with the euro trough pointing at 1 o'clock and the gfs at high noon. If the euro moves that direction at 0z it gets real interesting The surface depiction is very sensitive to the timing of the negative tilt and closing off, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Ah Canadian only runs every 12 hours? Am I seeing that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 The ONE time we need the GFS to lead, and it might just do that. If we're looking at this same look at Wednesday 12z (or better yet, trend even better), we might have something on our hands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, bncho said: The surface depiction is very sensitive to the timing of the negative tilt and closing off, correct? Extremely. Unlike the last storm, this one basically blows up right at our latitude. Last one was mature and loaded with moisture well before the approach. This storm is going to be explosive wherever it rapidly deepens. That's a lock. Where that happens depends entirely on how the upper levels transpire 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So close... 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So incredibly easy to extrapolate what a similar shift at 0z would do.. Let's hope the Euro can fill in the blank for us 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z. Again, watching that patch over now sc Va that was over NC at 12z… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 We can’t have that meet in the middle BS. We need a full cave to the GFS and then a little more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 euro 18z left, 12z right. 500/vort valid sat 18z. looks much better on the left, which is why we saw the surface improvemnt 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z. Definitely came nw!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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