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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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None of theGFS will happen and that to ar as models are having hard time 3 days out. Those temps are fun to look at another joke.

I only care about tomorrow through Sunday for my drive to Eagles Mere and home Sunday.

Tomorrow there expected. 25" of rain.

 

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2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I think this is the single most ridiculous snow map I have seen for pretty much anywhere nearby. Would need to make a drive up to see 90 inches of snow. 

1769709600-SlcXaJP5ymA.png

I know you know there is zero chance this verifies. Next run the most snow you will probably see anywhere on that map will be a foot or so- Alleghany front and up near the lakes.

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44 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

None of theGFS will happen and that to ar as models are having hard time 3 days out. Those temps are fun to look at another joke.

I only care about tomorrow through Sunday for my drive to Eagles Mere and home Sunday.

Tomorrow there expected. 25" of rain.

 

When u drive to Eagle Mere, can you take a left turn and head where there is no internet or thoughts of fiber optic for the next 25 years?

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5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I know you know there is zero chance this verifies. Next run the most snow you will probably see anywhere on that map will be a foot or so- Alleghany front and up near the lakes.

Next run will be a cutter.  Thats how we roll. Then the next system follows the boundary pressing S and hits the Carolinas while we smoke cirrus. I kind of mean that jokingly BUT dont tell me that isnt a common way we fail in this kind of setup in a Nina ie cutter then squasher.

 

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1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

What about this sounding? I mean could you even imagine the ground truth of a saturated DGZ that large with lift throughout it?

gfs_2026011318_258_40.0--79.25.png

I imagine that’d be like PD1 in ‘79. It’s famous for its rates. I hope I see this in my lifetime. 

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12 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I know you know there is zero chance this verifies. Next run the most snow you will probably see anywhere on that map will be a foot or so- Alleghany front and up near the lakes.

I dunno man you should consult the big ones are locked in early chart.

biglock.png.9098b74550b1183a9eb4db22e79ebc66.png

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5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Next run will be a cutter.  Thats how we roll. Then the next system follows the boundary pressing S and hits the Carolinas while we smoke cirrus. I kind of mean that jokingly BUT dont tell me that isnt a common way we fail in this kind of setup in a Nina ie cutter then squasher.

 

It's not how we roll.. its how deterministic guidance rolls at long range. Volatile as fuck.

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5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I dunno man you should consult the big ones are locked in early chart.

biglock.png.9098b74550b1183a9eb4db22e79ebc66.png

"Bigness" is the most esoteric meterology term. Not even Ji could understand what that means.

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