January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

See you here in 2027. And 2028. Etc

If we were a smarter group we’d all go in on a piece of property up there. Or even something at DCL. 

It was an insane experience up there. 

[Ji]

so far Pulaski has been a bust lol. Been watching this for 3 days. and nothing has really happened.

https://fatnancystackle.com/pages/pages-salmon-river-live-web-stream?srsltid=AfmBOoq0rhYtqPt-KY7XSwYNwngzQqaKAAg5CtmgbsnJN1ZFMHDxdsi0

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

It was an insane experience up there. 

thats actually when i dont like snow. I hate that look

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

thats actually when i dont like snow. I hate that look

That was 6hrs after the storm they work fast lol. Here’s during 

 

[Ji]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

That was 6hrs after the storm they work fast lol. 

thats crazy. i cant imaging being in a storm where there is no back edge lol

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

thats crazy. i cant imaging being in a storm where there is no back edge lol

Watching it snow 5-6” per hour and pass our yearly climo in like 3hrs is crazy to see but also depressing to realize how much we suck at snow. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

22 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

See you here in 2027. And 2028. Etc

If we were a smarter group we’d all go in on a piece of property up there. Or even something at DCL. 

Then we would piss and moan because the pattern would change for a decade and our home bases would have 300% normal snow for years and -90% at Hamburg

[Terpeast]

15 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Watching it snow 5-6” per hour and pass our yearly climo in like 3hrs is crazy to see but also depressing to realize how much we suck at snow. 

I am envious. When the kids are older, we’ll chase 

Blackwater, wisp, and tug hill are good go-tos. 

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I am envious. When the kids are older, we’ll chase 

Blackwater, wisp, and tug hill are good go-tos. 

If you never experienced it ya you got to do it. It makes our 20” in 18hrs storms look like nothing. 

[Terpeast]

3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

If you never experienced it ya you got to do it. It makes our 20” in 18hrs storms look like nothing. 

I’ve experienced one just SE of dunkirk where we got 3 ft, it was great. But that was a long time ago and memories are fading. I want more haha

[Interstate]

26 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Watching it snow 5-6” per hour and pass our yearly climo in like 3hrs is crazy to see but also depressing to realize how much we suck at snow. 

I believe we pushed close to those rates in the first Feb storm on 2010

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

I believe we pushed close to those rates in the first Feb storm on 2010

2 times I've seen 4"+ in an hour in our region, 1/26/11 and the first 2/10 storm. 

[TSSN+]

10 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I believe we pushed close to those rates in the first Feb storm on 2010

Ya but it doesn’t last for hours on end 

[poolz1]

43 minutes ago, Ji said:

so far Pulaski has been a bust lol. Been watching this for 3 days. and nothing has really happened.

https://fatnancystackle.com/pages/pages-salmon-river-live-web-stream?srsltid=AfmBOoq0rhYtqPt-KY7XSwYNwngzQqaKAAg5CtmgbsnJN1ZFMHDxdsi0

Been watching it regularly also.  That band just seemed to jump to the north.  Looks like you can see the dark clouds from that band on the 1st cam feed.  I've caught many salmon around that bridge.  Cool little town especially if you like fishing/hunting.

[DDweatherman]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Ya but it doesn’t last for hours on end 

It doesn't matter, people enjoy the 4-6 hour rush. There's nothing like snow in our backyards. We wouldn't treasure it the way we do if we averaged 180" a year, it's all a part of the mentality. Having to drive 8 hours for it and then back after is definitely the worst part. The chases are awesome for sure, but that's why a chase like DCL on MLK a few years ago for 20+" 2 hrs from home is epic but easier. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

18 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

If you never experienced it ya you got to do it. It makes our 20” in 18hrs storms look like nothing. 

I was there once and chased in the 90s. Insanity!

[NorthArlington101]

Definitely gonna do the lake effect chase in the coming years but it’s “fake effect” snow too, imo. Honestly think it would get boring to live there. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Definitely gonna do the lake effect chase in the coming years but it’s “fake effect” snow too, imo. Honestly think it would get boring to live there. 

Snow is snow. If it’s rippin 3”+ per hour I wouldn’t be bored haha 

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Snow is snow. If it’s rippin 3”+ per hour I wouldn’t be bored haha 

I actually think I would hate it if it kept snowing 100% of the time. Part of the joy is the rarity and the chase. Different strokes 

[Voyager]

5 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

It doesn't matter, people enjoy the 4-6 hour rush. There's nothing like snow in our backyards. We wouldn't treasure it the way we do if we averaged 180" a year, it's all a part of the mentality. Having to drive 8 hours for it and then back after is definitely the worst part. The chases are awesome for sure, but that's why a chase like DCL on MLK a few years ago for 20+" 2 hrs from home is epic but easier. 

This (the bolded part)

I was at a trucking job orientation and while I was there we got a 2 ft snowstorm. It was cool, but nowhere near as enjoyable as it would have been in my own town and my own home and property.

 

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I actually think I would hate it if it kept snowing 100% of the time. Part of the joy is the rarity and the chase. Different strokes 

It’s been 9 years since I seen over a 7” storm. I’ll take snow all the time over once and a blue moon lol. Also it doesn’t snow there in the summer

[rjvanals]

NAM brings us a minor ice storm Saturday night 

[Weather Will]

Let's test the can kicking of the models. Below are WB EPS 12Z temp panels for the 15th.  Let's see which way they trend over the next two weeks.

[IronTy]

When I used to live in Michigan we got sick of LES after a time.  Once you got enough base to snowmobile anywhere you want to go then anything on top of that is just a hassle to find somewhere to put it.  

 

Also, knowing that it's not til May before winter really ends kinda sucks.  Also, as soon as the lakes freeze over, there goes your LES.  No such thing as a coastal storm up there.  Or here, either it seems.  

 

Also, there's something kind of unsatisfying to be stuck in a LES band for an hour then then have it shift a couple miles and be blazing sun out.  Doesn't feel right.  Better than this snow desert though.  

[Superstorm]

This (the bolded part)
I was at a trucking job orientation and while I was there we got a 2 ft snowstorm. It was cool, but nowhere near as enjoyable as it would have been in my own town and my own home and property.
 

Nothing beats hometown snow.

I saw 7 feet of snow in the Nov 2014 Buffalo Lake Effect event. Very cool to see, but it can’t beat 2 feet on my own turf.

However, if you have not witnessed lake effect like that, it is worth the trip.


.

[rjvanals]

9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I actually think I would hate it if it kept snowing 100% of the time. Part of the joy is the rarity and the chase. Different strokes 

Snow when I went to Syracuse wasn’t nearly as much fun as snow down here. 

With snow being rare down here every event is special. In places like Syracuse several inches of snow is just par for the course and life goes on normally. I’m as big a snow lover as you’ll find (one of the reasons I went to Syracuse) but by March I wasn’t rooting for snow anymore and was ready for spring. 

[IronTy]

1 minute ago, rjvanals said:

Snow when I went to Syracuse wasn’t nearly as much fun as snow down here. 

With snow being rare down here every event is special. In places like Syracuse several inches of snow is just par for the course and life goes on normally. I’m as big a snow lover as you’ll find (one of the reasons I went to Syracuse) but by March I wasn’t rooting for snow anymore and was ready for spring. 

Another thing - if you actually live there, LES becomes a stress because you really need to keep your roof cleared off so it doesn't collapse.  When you're a kid it's cool, but once you get older you start to worry about the roof on your older home.  And snow invariably seemed to blow into the attic and cause water issues in the ceiling.  

[adelphi_sky]

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

That was 6hrs after the storm they work fast lol. Here’s during 

 

NY and PA snow crews are some of the best. 

[rjvanals]

8 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Another thing - if you actually live there, LES becomes a stress because you really need to keep your roof cleared off so it doesn't collapse.  When you're a kid it's cool, but once you get older you start to worry about the roof on your older home.  And snow invariably seemed to blow into the attic and cause water issues in the ceiling.  

Yeah the roof issues often would be the result of a heavy lake snowstorm  followed by a rain event. The lake snow is typically so fluffy it doesn’t weigh a ton but rain followed by a flash freeze would cause issues 

[WesternFringe]

38 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Definitely gonna do the lake effect chase in the coming years but it’s “fake effect” snow too, imo. Honestly think it would get boring to live there. 

I grew up in Upstate NY.  It never got boring for my snow lover friends or for me and my family.