January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[bncho]

What more can you ask from this other than the fact that it's three weeks out? Strong signal for an -EPO with a trace of +PNA in there, then we have the high latitude blocking with some decent -AO/-NAO signals (could be stronger) also with a hint of an SE ridge to prevent suppression. The cold air is THERE in Canada as well. Jan 15-Feb 1 y'all. I'm telling you we're getting something then.

[Eskimo Joe]

Dr. No says yes?

 

 

[WxUSAF]

Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…

[Maestrobjwa]

57 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Ya probably flurries 

Not sure why this got weenied...I mean that's what current guidance is showing. BUT, I guess this kind of thing could trend a little stronger as we get a little closer...we'll see.

[Eskimo Joe]

 

[bncho]

29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…

I thought he was talking about TOTAL snowfall, and then I read it a bit more carefully… LFG!

[TSSN+]

46 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not sure why this got weenied...I mean that's what current guidance is showing. BUT, I guess this kind of thing could trend a little stronger as we get a little closer...we'll see.

Cause people are snow starved and anyone saying anything that is not snow positive they get mad. 

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Cause people are snow starved and anyone saying anything that is not snow positive they get mad. 

Agreed. The New Years event is a low end dusting to one inch affair at best. I just want snow.

[AlexD1990]

No. You are in Delaware.

Um? Some sort of in-joke I am not aware of?

That look has worked out for much of our region quite often in recent winters, but maybe not so much for you ? 

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[bncho]

Tomer doesn’t weenie cast. Holy shit. 20-29” in NYC likely translates to 15-25” for DCA.

[nj2va]

Just now, bncho said:

Tomer doesn’t weenie cast. Holy shit. 20-29” in NYC likely translates to 15-25” for DCA.

He thinks the pattern favors south of NYC so he could be thinking higher totals here.

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Um? Some sort of in-joke I am not aware of?

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DE is part of our subforum. Not sure what the post was supposed to mean. If it was meant to be tongue in cheek, it didn't really land.

[AlexD1990]

DE is part of our subforum. Not sure what the post was supposed to mean. If it was meant to be tongue in cheek, it didn't really land.

Don't I know it. This is why most of us stick to our little thread

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[CAPE]

Wonder what Ji thinks about HH GFS 

I'm guesting, DISASTER!!