January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Prismshine Productions]

Now that I've done like Phillip Rivers and got called out of retirement, I'm forced to play catch up on what's transpired during the day.
 
From what I gather:
*  some ice in the Carolinas
*some heavy snow DC/NYC
*some element of snow in SNE
*cold north of route 2.
 
Does that pretty much sum it up?

To the letter

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Repeats to self....don't stay up, you're 45 with 4 kids....don't stay up, you're 45 with 4 kids....

Stay up and make a 5th?

[moneypitmike]

13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

To the letter

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

Aside of cool daytime temps, the lowest overnight temp in my p/c is -3.   I think I've had -2 twice already. A little extra ice on the Kennebec  Yawn.

 

EC shows much colder though.

[tavwtby]

22 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Those were back on Eastern Weather.

last one I remember was I think late 00s/early 10s, maybe Jan 2011, but I can't recall.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

last one I remember was I think late 00s/early 10s, maybe Jan 2011, but I can't recall.

I think, 2010 was when the switch was made.

[tavwtby]

Just now, dryslot said:

I think, 2010 was when the switch was made.

think you're right, I was still in Waterbury so it was prior to 2014, also remember a couple in the Eastern days, very cool and exciting knowing that big dog mecs was on the way... gathering useful info from the experienced mets on here.

[dendrite]

We’ve had Amex shows after the move from Eastern. But Randy only hosts shows when they get big events in DC so shows are like unicorns now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Stay up and make a 5th?

TBH, a HECS is the safest birth control I can think of.

[mahk_webstah]

ZOOM would be more fun because then people could post maps and model output etc

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think, 2010 was when the switch was made.

November 2010.

[Damage In Tolland]

That was a major push north 18z EPS qpf. Whoa 

[kdxken]

38 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Randy hosted them all

That was awesome.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I get the range, but plenty of guidance doing that...same shit Jan 2022 pulled. I'm going to need deep easterly H85 inflow and/or perfect H7 deformation to avoid it.

[kdxken]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I did a couple of those before. 

You were voted off quite quickly. "Ain't happening James" "staying south" "This blows" .

 

Did nothing for ratings.

[dendrite]

43 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

What the onlyfans? Lol

I could make a lot of money from metfan with this

[TheSnowman]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Mark Mancuso was still hitting 2-5” in the interior at 630am that morning.

I ended up with 18” (no clearing) in Auburn, NH.

 

How the heck is there a YouTube Video of the freaking weather forecast from that specific day??  Awesome!  

[dendrite]

Ray is already shook from a 1/2” less on a d6 prog

[kdxken]

Follow the mark model folks. 

 

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We plow ?

I dunno what the ratios are, but with one millimeter of precip, they better be good.

[ineedsnow]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I could make a lot of money from metfan with this

that's like 20 inches plus for most of SNE at 10 to 1    

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Ray is already shook from a 1/2” less on a d6 prog

People said the same shit leading into Jan 2022....Scott was telling me I'd be fine day of, but I was right. Pretty clear signal....I know it when I see it. Bitter cold system with ocean enhancement is no bueno here unless mid levels save me.

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Ray is already shook from a 1/2” less on a d6 prog

That’s gonna be a tough pill to swallow if he gets 9” and ASH is putting up a 10 burger. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That’s gonna be a tough pill to swallow if he gets 9” and ASH is putting up a 10 burger. 

You know yourself a global at day 6 won't resolve that well enough....I'll bet you $1,000 it will be more pronounced than that.

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

People said the same shit leading into Jan 2022....Scott was telling me I'd be fine day of, but I was right. Pretty clear signal....I know it when I see it. Bitter cold system with ocean enhancement is no bueno here unless mid levels save me.

When was the last time your region had a foot plus? 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That’s gonna be a tough pill to swallow if he gets 9” and ASH is putting up a 10 burger. 

At least his 9.7 beat Scott’s 9.4

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

When was the last time your region had a foot plus? 

Most of region? Yes.

[dendrite]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You know yourself a global at day 6 won't resolve that well enough....I'll bet you $1,000 it will be more pronounced than that.

Way too early to be worrying about coastal front exhaust. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dendrite said:

Way too early to be worrying about coastal front exhaust. 

Not IMO...unless there is deep H85 inflow, or deformation is right over me. Bank it...quote me next Monday.

[dendrite]

24” for Wilmington and 11” for Methuen when all is said and done?

[40/70 Benchmark]

At least the large scale pattern is good, anyway.....beats the past few years.