Possible Light Snowfall (1" - 4") on Tuesday Dec 23

[snywx]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Steve D

Def donot see 3-6” up here lol.. 1-2” up here is prob the limit 

[IrishRob17]

1 minute ago, snywx said:

Def donot see 3-6” up here lol.. 1-2” up here is prob the limit 

Agreed. Looking forward to some mood flakes for Festivus.  

[wxman]

7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Agreed. Looking forward to some mood flakes for Festivus.  

for the restofus..........

[Northof78]

1" - 3" nice little storm coming with temps in 20s for almost all, enjoy it! 

[eduggs]

Warm advection precip especially with a parent low significantly separated from the overrunning can be locally unpredictable. It can be banded with distinct maxes and mins that defy typical geographical snowfall distributions. The inter- and intra-model variability supports this. As usual, this will be an interesting nowcast. With surface temperatures near or just above freezing, snow could accumulate pretty much anywhere. Can't really count anyone out for a coating to about 3". I don't think this event will reveal its character until the last moment. Hopefully when it does early Tue it appears wintry and festive.

[North and West]

Whatever falls will melt before Christmas anyway lol

good to see you before the holiday, Uncle Scrooge


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[psv88]

5 minutes ago, North and West said:

good to see you before the holiday, Uncle Scrooge


.

Yea no that’s not me. Just being realistic. 

[coastalplainsnowman]

53 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Agreed. Looking forward to some mood flakes for Festivus.  

We definitely have the airing of grievances part covered.

[IrishRob17]

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yea no that’s not me. Just being realistic. 

And yet you still felt the need to point out the melting. Interesting. 29/14 and blustery. 

[psv88]

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

And yet you still felt the need to point out the melting. Interesting. 

Yea it’s a weather discussion board. We talk about weather, good, bad, ugly. Sorry I hurt your feelings 

[donsutherland1]

No changes in thinking at this time. With marginal temperatures and light precipitation rates, most of the New York City area will probably see little more than a coating. The City will likely see temperatures remain above freezing for most or all of the storm. A trace of snow cannot be ruled out for parts of the City. Nearly three-quarters of events with temperatures above freezing saw no measurable snowfall while just one-in-six had 1" or more in Central Park's climate record. It is possible that the precipitation could mix with or end as some light rain or drizzle in and around New York City.

The distant northern and western suburbs continue to have the best chance of seeing 1"-2", as readings will likely be near or perhaps even a little below freezing during much of the event. 

The latest WPC maps for 24-hour probabilities of 1" or more and 2" or more snowfall are below: