Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[canderson]

7 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

It was dynamic cooling from heavy returns and it running up against an 850 -700mb wall

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Any thoughts when we shut off from sleet?

[CarlislePaWx]

Here in Carlisle at 5:30pm...it continues to sleet lightly with still no signs of snow.  During the past 90 minutes I have recorded an additional 0.2" of sleet.  This brings my storm total to 7.1".  The temperature has risen barely, up to 13.1 degrees F.  It sounds like there may be another shot at some accumulating snow later this evening.  I'll have another update around 7:00 unless the snow returns before then.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

The last hurrah is moving through as we speak with again mega sleet. The conditions in this denver game are insane! 

[Blizzard of 93]

@canderson

We are alive & well in the MDT measurement contest. The 5 pm climate summary has MDT at 11.0 today.

If we get another inch or so with the last part of the storm, you & I will be battling for the crown!

We will need to see what they officially put in the books overnight, but usually it’s close even if they make a slight adjustment.

 

[mahantango#1]

Now with this sleet on top of the snow will it drift when winds pick up tomorrow? I seen wet snow drift after  the winds dried it out.

[canderson]

10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

@canderson

We are alive & well in the MDT measurement contest. The 5 pm climate summary has MDT at 11.0 today.

If we get another inch or so with the last part of the storm, you & I will be battling for the crown!

We will need to see what they officially put in the books overnight, but usually it’s close even if they make a slight adjustment.

 

I think we do get 1-2” wraparound snow. We’ll see! 
 

Sleet has slowed down some. Looks like the end is near. 

[Jns2183]

Any thoughts when we shut off from sleet?

The dry slot fast approaching

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[Jns2183]

The nam somehow managed to nail the thermals but still finish close to the bottom if not totally at the bottom with storm totals with 7" predicted

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[AccuChris]

Still sleeting in Lebanon. Measured another 1” of sleet since 2PM making the total snow/sleet here of 12”


.

[Itstrainingtime]

4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

The nam somehow managed to nail the thermals but still finish close to the bottom if not totally at the bottom with storm totals with 7" predicted

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Yep. That's why I said at lunchtime that I feel the NAM excels at thermals. It's an elite model for a very specific purpose. MillvilleWx just commented on that in the MA thread.

Seems like we go through this with every storm. NAM is ridiculed by so many but for Miller Bs and a primary west of us I will take it to the bank. Though to be completely truthful...a lot or times it actually underdoes both the extent of mixing and the speed of changeover.

Everything else? I toss if it's on it's own.

[canderson]

Is it freezing rain immediately S of HBG all the way to the border? Radar seems to indicate so. 

[anotherman]

Is it freezing rain immediately S of HBG all the way to the border? Radar seems to indicate so. 

Still light sleet in York.

[canderson]

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

Still light sleet in York.

Thanks.  Weird radar look 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

11 minutes ago, canderson said:

Is it freezing rain immediately S of HBG all the way to the border? Radar seems to indicate so. 

Nothing but solid sleet.  Wall to wall sleet.  In fact, some of the heaviest sleet of the day falling here again before it looks to shut off shortly.  Wild.

[Blizzard of 93]

Still mostly sleet with a few light flakes mixed in. Still Accumulating…

[Superstorm]

At our house in CT. Up to about 18”.


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[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

@canderson

We are alive & well in the MDT measurement contest. The 5 pm climate summary has MDT at 11.0 today.

If we get another inch or so with the last part of the storm, you & I will be battling for the crown!

We will need to see what they officially put in the books overnight, but usually it’s close even if they make a slight adjustment.

 

Uh....hellooo

13.9" pal.  

Doubt i get it, but at least im in the runnin.

[pasnownut]

loving ctp's disco about ull giving us 1-3" down here.  F it.  I'll take it.

Great day, but little too sleet.  Good god this shit is dense.  Plows got my daughter in laws care stuck in like cinder block.  8.5 horse snowblower of mine was strugglin.  Thats sayin something.  was fine where they didnt plow, but man i feel for those who only shovel where plows go by.  I did a few neighbors driveways, sidewalks and mess where plow went through.  Ass hat only did 1 pass and backed up.  thats it.  Lots extra for my neighborhood to clean up., I broke a part and will resume in the morning after i fix it.  I'm pooped.

Enjoy the rest of the snow.  Hope we all get a little more.  

tomorrow we play.  saw a good handfule of snowmobiles when I took mine out earlier.  

Fun week coming up.

 

 

[2001kx]

11"

[Itstrainingtime]

13 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

loving ctp's disco about ull giving us 1-3" down here.  F it.  I'll take it.

Great day, but little too sleet.  Good god this shit is dense.  Plows got my daughter in laws care stuck in like cinder block.  8.5 horse snowblower of mine was strugglin.  Thats sayin something.  was fine where they didnt plow, but man i feel for those who only shovel where plows go by.  I did a few neighbors driveways, sidewalks and mess where plow went through.  Ass hat only did 1 pass and backed up.  thats it.  Lots extra for my neighborhood to clean up., I broke a part and will resume in the morning after i fix it.  I'm pooped.

Enjoy the rest of the snow.  Hope we all get a little more.  

tomorrow we play.  saw a good handfule of snowmobiles when I took mine out earlier.  

Fun week coming up.

 

 

Do a little work on the ridge axis out west and next weekend's threat could emerge again. 

[canderson]

The 18z Euro has the storm riding the coast next weekend 

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

Do a little work on the ridge axis out west and next weekend's threat could emerge again. 

Yes, 18z Euro looks good per Mid Atlantic thread.

[pasnownut]

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Do a little work on the ridge axis out west and next weekend's threat could emerge again. 

Yeah I was just looking. Trough is deep in the east. Like you said not much needed to get a refresher. Hope so. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Radar looks to be filling in a bit to our southwest for our last round tonight.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

7pm Obs:  14/13 with moderate sleet as the dry slot approaches.  Sleet has accumulated an additional .5" since 3pm, bringing the storm total to 8.7".  A funny reminder with this storm has been just how inefficiently sleet accumulates.  You can think you're getting hammered with pingers for hours on end and then you check and it's like half an inch over four hours or something like that haha.  In any case, quite a pack we're going to have for ourselves here.

[canderson]

Moved here in 2006. I don’t recall a solid week with this kind of temp forecast. 
 

Monday

Partly sunny, with a high near 26. West wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. 

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 4. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. 

Tuesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 5 to 8 mph. 

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 4. West wind 3 to 6 mph. 

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 18.

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 18.

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 0.

Friday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 17.

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 3.

Saturday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 22.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 4.

Sunday

Sunny, with a high near 26.