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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


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Amazing what just a 1" coating of fresh snow can do if the skies can clear with very little to no wind.  At 12:30am I'm down to 11.1 degrees and continuing to drop.  I think that anyone with several inches of solid snowpack will find their temps in the single digits come dawn.  I'll bet THV makes it down to zero.  Last week my coldest reading was +6.6 degrees F.  I think that's breakable.  We'll see...

Also, I melted down my snowfall, however I missed probably half of the accumulation because I didn't have my gauge outside on my board.  I recorded somewhere between 0.8" and 1.0" of snowfall, but all of that only melted down to 0.01" of liquid!  So, if you want to go with 80 : 1 SLR, I guess we can...lol.  There's no doubt this snow was high ratio, however, I think the highest ratio I've ever officially recorded was around 30:1.

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Lots of single digits on personal weather stations this morning along the Susquehanna and in the Harrisburg area this morning. Coldest one I saw was +2 in Holiday Park near Linglestown.

Here in my backyard, though, I'm sitting at 14.

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We had quite a few spots with lows in the single digits. The lowest was the 3.8 degrees at Warwick Township. The sun returns today and we should see some melting of the snow but with high temperatures remaining below freezing and the low sun angle it will be limited. Our much colder than normal December continues before we finally warm up to above normal on Thursday and Friday with rain arriving on Thursday night. Expect some fog over the melting snow with this system and most of the snow cover will be gone by Friday morning. Rain amounts could approach an inch in some spots. Looking ahead to Christmas week temperatures look to be not too far from normal for Christmas, but chances of a White Christmas look slim.image.png.b3f9a9fc627f2b37f3f949d5d44bca6f.pngimage.thumb.png.ed1419d7ce505371564d85d918d0ec51.png

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40 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

When the next threat of winter precip.?

It’s going to be tough to get wintry precip before Christmas with the advertised pattern. Temps should be relatively seasonable after our few day warm up later this week.

The period between just after Christmas & before New Year’s showed some potential for chances on the 0z GFS. It looks potentially active, so hopefully we are on the right side of the boundary.

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Interesting snippet from CTP's forecast discussion this morning: ( @canderson)

The biggest story on Friday will be the potential for strong to
damaging wind gusts. Building high pressure in the southeast US
will interact with the potent and deepening cyclone crossing
the Great Lakes to produce wind gusts exceeding 40mph Friday
afternoon in the wake of the cold front. Anomalously strong wind
fields could result in fairly widespread gusts of 40-50mph
across the northeast US Friday afternoon. Wind Advisories may be
needed for at least a portion of the area.
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