First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

So tossed 

It’s definitely wrong, but its insistence on holding onto these solutions make it even worse. The eventual cave will be bad 

[HoarfrostHubb]

PVD 10”+.   Yeah. Right

[Bryan63]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

So tossed 

Looks good to me, not sure what y'all are fussing about.

[dendrite]

It’s been trying to make that convective low on the front be the primary low. None of the other models are doing that.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s definitely wrong, but its insistence on holding onto these solutions make it even worse. The eventual cave will be bad 

C’mon, we were told that it’s better than it used to be lol.  If it is…you may be in for 12 plus. Has 4-6” for me…?

[Kitz Craver]

Blend the 12z GFS and EURO and it’s nice for many

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

PVD 10”+.   Yeah. Right

Attlehole 12+…

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

C’mon, we were told that it’s better than it used to be lol.  If it is…you may be in for 12 plus. Has 4-6” for me…?

Cave or coup?  We just don’t know!

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Blend the 12z GFS and EURO and it’s nice for many

Agreed. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Cave or coup?  We just don’t know!

As Kitz said, blend em and its a nice start. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This event is 48 hours away and the euro has a foot for areas that no other model has snow for.

You gotta look past the 10 to one nonsense. Also that vendor is absolute clown shows when it comes to those maps.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

As Kitz said, blend em and it’s a nice start. 

 I mean, I’d love a GFS solution, but it would be nice if everybody could get some snow.I

[CoastalWx]

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

We will when the free shit comes out

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

PVD 10”+.   Yeah. Right

There’s an accordion warming up in Rhode Island.  

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

I didn’t think the thermals were too toaster worthy for my locale on either model, warm for sure and on the edge but a chance at some pasty accumulation 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Looks like for my area, 950mb level tickles 0C at its warmest 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Looks like for my area, 950mb level tickles 0C at its warmest 

Warmest extent euro gets during storm.

[kdxken]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

15 to 1 ?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Warmest extent euro gets during storm.

Model compromise definitely gets that 20 or 30 miles further northwest. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

I am guessing this is a classic I84, then Mass Pike to 495 r/s line.  Typical for a season's first gambit.

[HoarfrostHubb]

14 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

There’s an accordion warming up in Rhode Island.  

I honestly hope the southeastern folks do well. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

I honestly hope the southeastern folks do well. 

Me too, although I do enjoy when Scooter is on a roll with the sardonic humor.

[mahk_webstah]

watches up

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

Clown maps are obviously ridiculous. And you can think the euro is wrong. But as Bob posted. Objectively, if that verified as depicted, it’s a snow event here.

Whether it’s right is a whole different discussion 

[SnowGoose69]

30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This event is 48 hours away and the euro has a foot for areas that no other model has snow for.

The Euro has nailed the last 2 events in the Upper Midwest, I'll say that much.  But this is a totally different setup and area of the country.

[dendrite]

EPS mean bumped NW. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Clown maps are obviously ridiculous. And you can think the euro is wrong. But as Bob posted. Objectively, if that verified as depicted, it’s a snow event here.

Whether it’s right is a whole different discussion 

It’s not when temps are barely 0C at 925 and warm above 0C below that. At least for you and I. Maybe if it rips it will turn to a 33 Fahrenheit snow, but it’s not gonna accumulate anywhere close to 10 to one. That’s what I’m trying to say.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

EPS mean bumped NW. 

can you post. 

[Ginx snewx]

43 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z Euro caving a bit this run.

Did not cave. I mean its about as locked in as it can. Ignore if you must but the excuses to toss are piling up as to why.