First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[weatherwiz]

the 12z GFS bufkit for ORH is odd. I don't really put too much stock into the precip type but it has this look as heavy ZR. It's more than likely a lift thing but it's still funny to see. 

but then has this  as heavy snow 

[dryslot]

No bueno

[ORH_wxman]

Yep still shunts east like 06z. Kind of ugly. Would be cold enough across a lot of SNE but flaccid rates mean 2-4” type deal or even less near coast. 

[dryslot]

The euro is on the other end of the spectrum being the furthest South on modeling.

[Baroclinic Zone]

AI ftw? 

[CoastalWx]

So now AI is better. You just have to laugh.

[CoastalWx]

So basically a 200 mile difference from NAM to euro within 84 hrs.

[CoastalWx]

Maybe 250 lol

[weatherwiz]

I wouldn't be surprised to see the euro come back the other way a bit tomorrow but something like this run may not be too far off from what occurs 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just see how EPS trended.

[8611Blizz]

So the closer we get the less we know.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe 250 lol

It's gonna be a long winter. 

[Kitz Craver]

36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m cleaning my gutters. Should I just end it all? 

Just reach out to those powerlines… 

[CoastalWx]

Will is right, there’s been this weird 72 to 96 hour Period at least over the last year maybe two that models get completely stupid on. It’s weird.

[SouthCoastMA]

The euro has caved a bunch the last few years, it's not the old King. Hope it's right though

[Damage In Tolland]

What a disaster this has turned into for most 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Last 5-6 model cycles, the trend has been for a flatter solution. Does not mean that holds or continues. We have seen countless times where we see those last 24-48hrs where things come in more amplified.

[Kitz Craver]

Either it’s the GFS camp, too wound up and warm with a track too close or now the EURO/UKMET slides out southeast and a nuisance. Speaking for SNE of course 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I wouldn't be surprised to see the euro come back the other way a bit tomorrow but something like this run may not be too far off from what occurs 

It’s prob gonna be a compromise lime usual. But evena compromise isn’t that great because the trend has been to keep the midlevels kind of open. So it’s gonna be weaker with dynamics and QPF. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Would the Euro or even a compromise even be snow in interior SNE?

[ineedsnow]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just see how EPS trended.

slightly west but still meh

[Snowcrazed71]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What a disaster this has turned into for most 

Come on man. Yesterday you were saying it was Rains to Maines. 

I still don't think it'll be that far out to see ( or that this is the final solution ). I think it'll be a light to moderate event for most of Southern New England and to Central New England. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Come on man. Yesterday you were saying it was Rains to Maines. 

I still don't think it'll be that far out to see ( or that this is the final solution ). I think it'll be a light to moderate event for most of Southern New England and to Central New England. 

We love 'em but he's lost. John Travolta levels of confusion. This is a light to mod event in his hood. 

[ORH_wxman]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Would the Euro or even a compromise even be snow in interior SNE?

Yes. But prob just advisory snows. 

[ineedsnow]

AIFS ENS went wild though 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes. But prob just advisory snows. 

We’d all certainly prefer that over the GFS/ GGEM/ NAM camp. Just whiten the landscape before the cold 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

AIFS ENS went wild though 

Fairly good amount of spread there too.

[78Blizzard]

It still looks like the Euro vs the rest of the models.  The Euro has never shown a hugger or an inland depiction as opposed to the GFS and Canadian.  We'll see. The Euro may be about to become as useless as the NAM at these time periods.

[CoastalWx]

EPS mean definitely juicier than op

[HIPPYVALLEY]

0z is when the runs start getting more meaningful wrt goalposts.