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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion


michsnowfreak
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9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


stop paying attention to run-to-run op guidance.

struggling hard in this pattern, so it’s useless.

To your point, lots of moving parts. Pretty active pattern, and as you've been saying, potential is there. Just need things to line up. 

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stop paying attention to run-to-run op guidance.

struggling hard in this pattern, so it’s useless.

When the majority of runs don’t give you much, doesn’t that mean something? Why has the GFS been rather consistent on a major coastal but struggling hard for us? Are there more variables to factor for the Midwest? Genuinely curious.


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1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

East coast winter

Boston Winter easy. On board for second 20” storm in a month. NYC to Philly DCA this storm will have a big say. All that said when the dust settles I’d still bet ORD tops them. 

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While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

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23 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

2.1 final call on the midweek nuisance event

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While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

They northeast can have things we can’t have given their coastal location. I was in DC and NYC for two +20 inch monsters during med school and residency in the first decade of 2000. Also saw some epic fails and nearly snowless winters there.


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On 2/17/2026 at 2:29 PM, dmc76 said:

0.7” to 1.3”  dusters are back !!!

I scored my 0.7" yesterday and another dust-up this morning. Actual grass had JUST made its appearance since before Thanksgiving, then we cover it all up and start over again. Clipper pattern I thought was dead making a resurgence this week. Large totals run N or S of here these last two winters - ready to move on to spring tbh. 

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If it wasn't for LES ORD could join RFD in the sub 30 sweepstakes club. Clippers have dusted Chicago a bit more than the rest of N. IL also. Every mile further E/NE under the trough helps. Great winter for Toronto 

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On 2/4/2026 at 10:59 AM, Malacka11 said:

Yeah basically looks like the rest of the season can be written off at this point.  First torch is already locked in and after that I'd rather just save the ol' climo luck points for next season 

 

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On 2/23/2026 at 5:11 AM, A-L-E-K said:

Zzzzzz

 

EPS warm in fantasy range, so hopefully the cad is short lived

Take a look at this morning’s AI GFS for a laugh, it’s a literal March 2012 redux. Fun to look at, but I’m sure it’ll be mild at times.

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