cmillzz Posted Monday at 01:52 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:52 AM 20 minutes ago, DocATL said: AI Euro is looney toons. GEFS also. Sigh. AI GFS wasn’t terrible, and funnily enough it’s been one of the more consistent models. Seems to be fairly good at picking up long range pattern changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Monday at 02:08 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 02:08 AM 39 minutes ago, DocATL said: AI Euro is looney toons. GEFS also. Sigh. AI Euro has done decent this winter. But get ready for plenty of model waffling this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Monday at 03:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:32 PM ready for a palm crusher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Monday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:05 PM GFS is pretty reserved and feels correct. Bigger storms to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Yeah winter (afa snow) died back on Dec 8th for this area. Next meaningful snow 8+ months away. MLI now 11.5 inches down below avg. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RemoteSenses Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Still holding out hope for one more “snowstorm” that surely will melt the next day. Not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Monday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:06 PM 26 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah winter (afa snow) died back on Dec 8th for this area. Next meaningful snow 8+ months away. MLI now 11.5 inches down below avg. wheels really fell off and climo definitely not on our side at this point just chasing qpf at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Monday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:12 PM 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: wheels really fell off and climo definitely not on our side at this point just chasing qpf at this point Probably means he’ll get a foot of clay a week from now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted Monday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:25 PM Does anyone have access to ensembles for the potential storm, either the individual members or the mean/median? The op runs are all over the place, even more so than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Monday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:34 PM not sure which potential storm you're referencing comrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Monday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:52 PM bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted Monday at 07:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:37 PM 51 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: not sure which potential storm you're referencing comrade Fair question - should have been clearer. I'm talking snow totals over the next 10-15 days, regardless of the individual storm threats. I saw some ensemble info in the TN sub-forum a few days ago, showing some big dogs for our area. Of course, that's good and bad...bad because the ensemble mean can be skewed by a couple of outliers. 6z GEFS from 3/7: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Monday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:07 PM Record highs set at Chicago & Rockford today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Monday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:11 PM 23 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: Fair question - should have been clearer. I'm talking snow totals over the next 10-15 days, regardless of the individual storm threats. I saw some ensemble info in the TN sub-forum a few days ago, showing some big dogs for our area. Of course, that's good and bad...bad because the ensemble mean can be skewed by a couple of outliers. 6z GEFS from 3/7: there's still a good spread, but a majority are a quality hit along/north of the border currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Monday at 09:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:37 PM wheels really fell off and climo definitely not on our side at this point just chasing qpf at this pointEpic nosedive once we hit first week of February. At this point just would like to see the streak last through March and April for giggles.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted Tuesday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:10 PM UP winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RemoteSenses Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Sunday system has me at least still checking the models. GFS is a slam dunk here but the Euro is like 400 miles north lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM 1 hour ago, RemoteSenses said: Sunday system has me at least still checking the models. GFS is a slam dunk here but the Euro is like 400 miles north lol Probably a compromise of some sorts. I’d love for the Euro to be correct but it’s probably a bit too far north as it seems to be an outlier atm. Palm dude may get a good hit though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Tuesday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:44 PM GFS looks out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM 21 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: bump. bump x2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Tuesday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:07 PM 1 hour ago, cmillzz said: Palm dude may get a good hit though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted yesterday at 11:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:41 AM On 3/5/2026 at 3:58 PM, Baum said: Still no sign of that late season 8” plaster storm to book end this winter. ……….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago On 3/4/2026 at 4:01 PM, Baum said: You can book 2-3” on grass only events at minimum post frontal in late March and April alone. Though, you might not know it happened. Shot with your own gun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The Euro has low teens across Iowa Monday afternoon, then 70s by Thursday and 80s Friday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago brutal cad at the end tho, hope that goes poof 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted 2 minutes ago Share Posted 2 minutes ago 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: brutal cad at the end tho, hope that goes poof If you’re referring to the Euro it’s been doing that at times since late Feb and has never fully materialized. Sure, we have the post-storm cold blast, but it’s literally for only a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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