Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential

[Chambana]

Probably gonna lose a few inches due to melting and compacting here, still a fast start to winter, none the less! Love to see it

[King James]

Let’s see if I can get 2 feet by December 1st

[migratingwx]

Here we go!

[King James]

LOT hasn’t backed off the idea for rain/snow mix in my area for a time while WGN has been consistent with 8-10 for my area. I know our boy Tom isn’t behind the desk but I love when WGN weather doesn’t budge as the storm closes in.

[A-L-E-K]

Call looking decent, temps and light rates def gonna be an issue

[Baum]

6 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Call looking decent, temps and light rates def gonna be an issue

I’d agree. If I could pull 6” on Thanksgiving Weekend would pretty much be a lifetimer for me. Note any other Chicago event you see for Turkey weekend turned to slop post event. That will not be the case this time. Real cold to follow allowing the snow to stick around. Big difference 

[sbnwx85]

This includes today’s lake effect but c’mon now.

[King James]

This includes today’s lake effect but c’mon now.

Overdone? Still seems to be two camps with this one. Trends to me seem to indicate a pretty big event here but LOT and some posters here (guessing leaning into climo) are hedging their bet some.

[A-L-E-K]

27 minutes ago, Baum said:

I’d agree. If I could pull 6” on Thanksgiving Weekend would pretty much be a lifetimer for me. Note any other Chicago event you see for Turkey weekend turned to slop post event. That will not be the case this time. Real cold to follow allowing the snow to stick around. Big difference 

Should be a fine lil event with bonus points for the holiday weekend Saturday timing. I think those with big dog on the brain might be bummed. Ull track not ideal

[sbnwx85]

6 minutes ago, King James said:

Overdone? Still seems to be two camps with this one. Trends to me seem to indicate a pretty big event here but LOT and some posters here (guessing leaning into climo) are hedging their bet some.

The high end of the range is way overdone. 11” here by Sunday morning is plausible if things go well. For the storm itself, things have been looking good for 6-10” for a while. NAM is juiced up but that’s typical at this point. 

[A-L-E-K]

6 hours ago, weathafella said:

If we could get the H7 low 50 miles SE of current guidance we’ll over perform imho.

This would be nice

[michsnowfreak]

Very light dusting of snow this morning. But with Saturdays snow, this will be the 3rd Thanksgiving weekend in a row to have a blanket of snow. 

[mimillman]

This looks like a solid 6-10” area wide with some 12” lollis probably favored over eastern Iowa or northwestern Illinois.

I’m out of town this weekend so will miss this one unfortunately. Get back Sunday early evening so shouldn’t be an issue on the return and will get to enjoy the deep winter feel as we get into December. 

For what it’s worth, I don’t think I’ve ever witnessed a November in proper Chicago (not ORD or the burbs) with this much snow. 2018 was great for the suburbs but downtown it was mostly slop and rain. Nice change of pace to start winter.

[Baum]

6 minutes ago, mimillman said:

This looks like a solid 6-10” area wide with some 12” lollis probably favored over eastern Iowa or northwestern Illinois.

I’m out of town this weekend so will miss this one unfortunately. Get back Sunday early evening so shouldn’t be an issue on the return and will get to enjoy the deep winter feel as we get into December. 

For what it’s worth, I don’t think I’ve ever witnessed a November in proper Chicago (not ORD or the burbs) with this much snow. 2018 was great for the suburbs but downtown it was mostly slop and rain. Nice change of pace to start winter.

Over performer incoming. Positive, the vestiges of it will be around in the form of frozen black slush all week.

[mimillman]

2 minutes ago, Baum said:

Over performer incoming. Positive, the vestiges of it will be around in the form of frozen black slush all week.

I recently moved to Bucktown / Logan Square area so I get to have the neighborhood/suburb feel but still be in the city. No black slush for me!

[mimillman]

7 hours ago, weathafella said:

If we could get the H7 low 50 miles SE of current guidance we’ll over perform imho.

We’re getting invaded by the New England forum 

[cyclone77]

So nice to be tracking a system where we don't have to worry about the timing of a changeover, dry tongue issues, and moisture robbing 'vection.  

[ChiTownSnow]

Seems like all major models are aligned here?  NAM may be a bit stronger but also has the latest data

[AWMT30]

Solid start to the models today! A nice Chicago to Detroit sweeping Winter Storm with 6-10" 

[Baum]

5 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

So nice to be tracking a system where we don't have to worry about the timing of a changeover, dry tongue issues, and moisture robbing 'vection.  

Uh-oh