December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Ji]

Euro stays 30 or lower for Leesburg all of Friday

[H2O]

I generally keep my dumb thoughts to myself(cause I’m more wrong than right) but this is why I kept stressing a -NAO and have it more west based. Think of it like a wreck on the beltway before the 270 split. Only after you see how bad the wreck is will you then find out how bad traffic snarls and jams up. You gotta get the block first. Then let it jam up the flow. NAO or AO too far east lets too much traffic find other ways to escape.  

This storm might not be it. But if it helps keep things jammed then look for the next one. 

[NorthArlington101]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Euro stays 30 or lower for Leesburg all of Friday

Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least 

[Heisy]

Noticed this a few times this year, think it’s some glitch, error, or something. Look at this precip output, ridiculous.




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[Ji]

Noticed this a few times this year, think it’s some glitch, error, or something. Look at this precip output, ridiculous.




.

Maybe it’s the higher res or the euro ?

[Ji]

The GFS has quite a climactic ending.

The upper level looked way better than the surface storm

[mitchnick]

31 minutes ago, H2O said:

I generally keep my dumb thoughts to myself(cause I’m more wrong than right) but this is why I kept stressing a -NAO and have it more west based. Think of it like a wreck on the beltway before the 270 split. Only after you see how bad the wreck is will you then find out how bad traffic snarls and jams up. You gotta get the block first. Then let it jam up the flow. NAO or AO too far east lets too much traffic find other ways to escape.  

This storm might not be it. But if it helps keep things jammed then look for the next one. 

Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.

[mitchnick]

12z Eps snowfall on top and 18z below. I see movement south. Subtle, but it's there.

[clskinsfan]

Happy hour weenie run. What torch? Looks like the models are going to ruin another Christmas day with my family.