clskinsfan Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Looks OK for a thump out this way. Sleety after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 H5 not as impressive as 6z little messier storm, but it’s still there at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Yeah, it's not as good. Real issue is we just don't get the rates we need to force a flip with marginal temperatures. Need a stronger and sharper vort and we don't get it this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 12z pretty much storm total precip vs. 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Delicate balance with amplification and placement of the low pressure off the coast with the GFS progression at 500. Would not worry too much into the details as of now, we just need the energy spacing to be close to where it is. GFS already doing it's classic energy getting sheared and held out for longer in the SW US though that we saw in the 120-180 hour range all too often last year. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Ggem is a light event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Ukie looks to be too strong with the High. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Just now, mitchnick said: Ukie looks to be too strong with the High. Yep...ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 26, 2025 Author Share Posted November 26, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Ukie looks to be too strong with the High. The cold air press looks stronger than the GFS/GGEM based off the 540 line location 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Gfs with vodka cold next weekend (GGEM agrees), then a clipper goes Miller B for a high ratio powder storm. Lol 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Just now, WxUSAF said: Gfs with vodka cold next weekend (GGEM agrees), then a clipper goes Miller B for a high ratio powder storm. Lol It's like watching commercials for Vegas when everybody wins on every spin! 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simbasad2 Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 12z GFS really tries to see something up around the 5th, 8th, and 10th. If we can't score at least climo snowfall then we'll need a regional exorcism. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Gang is returning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 How long until the weenies reach the "Bernie math" phase? 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS looks like it’ll probably hold to me - don’t quote me if I’m wrong in a few minutes. Where is Randy? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 3 minutes ago, Twilly05 said: Where is Randy? Probably smart enough to wait for a EURO run to show something exciting within 5 days to come back and steer the PBP. For now it's amateur hour. EURO went from amp'd and raining on us to kicked OTS in 12 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Probably smart enough to wait for a EURO run to show something exciting within 5 days to come back and steer the PBP. For now it's amateur hour. EURO went from amp'd and raining on us to kicked OTS in 12 hours. I suspect a Friday return, it’s Thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 10 minutes ago, Twilly05 said: Where is Randy? He should be along soon. I sent him a text saying everyone was asking for him. He didn’t know models showed snow haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Euro looks south of 0z early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Trough is more progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Ots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 6 minutes ago, Solution Man said: I suspect a Friday return, it’s Thanksgiving He spends a ton of time basting his turkey. Randy is known as a master baster. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 You all know damn well you can't have a proper storm without me. But seriously, been hella busy with work and now down here in South Carolina with fam for Thankskgiving, I really had no idea until Mappy texted me. Glad I wasn't checking tho..this one seems to be going in the wrong direction? I dunno, haven't been following. 1 6 1 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Something like the euro or GGEM is much more in line with the endless drought trend we’re on with weak sauce light precip. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Euro has 12/5 storm 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You all know damn well you can't have a proper storm without me. But seriously, been hella busy with work and now down here in South Carolina with fam for Thankskgiving, I really had no idea until Mappy texted me. Glad I wasn't checking tho..this one seems to be going in the wrong direction? I dunno, haven't been following. All hail, the King! Welcome my liege! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 Just now, mitchnick said: Euro has 12/5 storm 2-4" 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 32 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 2-4" Full climo for the month and we reinvigorate the December 5th Rule. Sold. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 26, 2025 Share Posted November 26, 2025 53 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 2-4" A very good night for me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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