mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Interesting it shows an AK vortex but still ridging over the west coast. Probably because it is pos tilted. Orientation matters. Yes, a trough over Japan is always preferred! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Lock it in for Friday. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I like this possibility. Mike Thomas @MikeTFox5 1h It's early! But definitely intrigued by next weekend. Compared to say, Tuesday, it is looking like a little better chance for the DC area. It's not perfect but again, it is a week out it doesn't need to be yet. Pattern wise definitely like that both -NAO and a 50/50 low are showing up in a lot of the modeling. Again, not perfect...the west could be a lot better and NAO could be more west based...but these are both features we are lacking with Tuesday so them showing up is a good start. Also of note is the Southern Oscillation Index, or SOI. One of my college professors loved the teleconnection that a sharp SOI dive was well correlated with East Coast storms. Well the SOI is forecast to take it's sharpest dive in at least 4 months around next weekend. So something interesting to keep an eye on! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Lock it in for Friday. Tuesday sets the table. Friday we eat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim yea its a warm sloppy disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Lock it in for Friday. Just finally registered with me that AI gets this started at like lunch time Friday! And it’s cold powder too… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 56 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim Always we need to wait til we have very established cold to have a chance. With a warmer base state due to climate change I feel like hedging towards warm sloppy mess for the metros makes sense, especially early season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Lock it in for Friday. That model has not been good at the surface. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Can someone post the Eps AI snowfall total for the entire run? I have Pivotal and for some reason doesn't have snowfall amounts from that one despite the other info. Maybe it doesn't want me to go blind, idk. Anyway, Tia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 38 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Can someone post the Eps AI snowfall total for the entire run? I have Pivotal and for some reason doesn't have snowfall amounts from that one despite the other info. Maybe it doesn't want me to go blind, idk. Anyway, Tia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago How does regular EPS look for the 5-6th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How does regular EPS look for the 5-6th? 2-4” dc metro (mean) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How does regular EPS look for the 5-6th? 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 32 minutes ago, jaydreb said: That looks consistent with yesterday's I believe, or the day before. But, consistency does not prove accuracy in this case. Although maybe the ensembles here are better than the AI model itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Active and cold = I can dream. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago Nice influx of cold this week, that's for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nice influx of cold this week, that's for sure. I keep checking bluesky to see whether HM ( aka Anthony M. ) posted any updats regarding his December weather thoughts. Not seeing anything. I know someone posted a while back he was enthused for this Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago 2 hours ago, jaydreb said: Man that would be the snowiest December in a a decade down here in Baltimore County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago Happy hour is T-2” for next weekend for many 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago NWS local forecast for Columbia on Friday is some sun, hi 33. Good start for the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 18 minutes ago Share Posted 18 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Herb@MAWS said: NWS local forecast for Columbia on Friday is some sun, hi 33. Good start for the weekend. Mount Holly for my area late week. Brrr Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 19. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 33. Friday Night A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 10 minutes ago Share Posted 10 minutes ago Happy hour is T-2” for next weekend for manyThat sad hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Ji said: That sad hour Not by early December standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 minutes ago Share Posted 3 minutes ago Okay this winter is getting really old really fast. The 500mb pattern is so flawed. Highs can’t lock in. Weak southern stream. The is no ridge on the west coast. Flat progressive flow. Fantasy storms disappearing. Real storms string outPhase 8 my as$ 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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