December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, Terpeast said:

Interesting it shows an AK vortex but still ridging over the west coast. Probably because it is pos tilted. Orientation matters.

Yes, a trough over Japan is always preferred! 

[NorthArlington101]

Lock it in for Friday. 

[frd]

I like this possibility. 

Mike Thomas  @MikeTFox5  1h

 

 

It's early! But definitely intrigued by next weekend. Compared to say, Tuesday, it is looking like a little better chance for the DC area. It's not perfect but again, it is a week out it doesn't need to be yet. Pattern wise definitely like that both -NAO and a 50/50 low are showing up in a lot of the modeling. Again, not perfect...the west could be a lot better and NAO could be more west based...but these are both features we are lacking with Tuesday so them showing up is a good start. Also of note is the Southern Oscillation Index, or SOI. One of my college professors loved the teleconnection that a sharp SOI dive was well correlated with East Coast storms. Well the SOI is forecast to take it's sharpest dive in at least 4 months around next weekend. So something interesting to keep an eye on!

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Lock it in for Friday. 

Tuesday sets the table. Friday we eat.

[NorthArlington101]

12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim 

[Ji]

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim 

yea its a warm sloppy disaster

[WxUSAF]

47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Lock it in for Friday. 

Just finally registered with me that AI gets this started at like lunch time Friday! And it’s cold powder too…